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Discussions highlight various aspects of the publication, such as mentions of prediction logs, the role of cognitive abilities, and training, showing genuine interest and some in-depth engagement. The tone varies from questioning to referencing related studies, which reflects both curiosity and recognition of the research's potential impact.
Many discussions reference research and concepts from the publication, indicating general support or acknowledgment of its relevance.
Participants show high curiosity, discussing specific details like prediction logs and training which reveal engagement with the topic.
Posts include comments, questions, and references to related research, demonstrating moderate-to-deep involvement.
The discussions seem to acknowledge the significance of the research, with some referencing its practical implications or theoretical importance.
@BasilHalperin In this paper, when restricting to forecasts made "quickly" (within first day of question open and within 4 minutes of starting the computer - how they know this I don't know), supers outperformed even 2nd-tier "top-team" individuals. https://t.co/zB1zCdOtrW https://t.co/SprIBlENEX
4/4 אפשר גם לאמן "סופר-חוזים" ולייצר ערך מוסף למקבלי החלטות: https://t.co/xr1is1KlBK עוד על הסופר-חוזים במחקר הזה: https://t.co/qbvX32V984
Predicting the future is difficult, but some of us are better at it than others. Research by Tetlock & colleagues suggests that "Superforecasters" are partly discovered & partly created: - Intelligence, skills & motivation - Training, teaming & tracking https://t.co/Dc8XbGelcL https://t.co/0UnvbLXUe1
@PhillipRotty @s8mb @iainmartin1 https://t.co/s7fjUHiyNN
@DG_Rand @morewedge Many thanks for the recommendations! Part of the inspiration comes from reading Tetlock's work on superforecasters, which identified accuracy-promoting characteristics both at the trait/ability level & their social "enriched environments". https://t.co/Dc8XbGelcL https://t.co/jg38BBm1Ja
@alamasv @csanhue @AXELKAISER @PTetlock Pundits. En general en temas de política, economía o deportes. Mira por ejemplo este paper. https://t.co/13n7hzO6gK
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@DamiDina @peterdedene @rohanpaul_ai "Where are these scientific peer reviewed prediction logs?" Here https://t.co/pqtMWk4Ik8 and here https://t.co/wKxwLHhNlf and here https://t.co/VHsjOttZ3l
4/4 אפשר גם לאמן "סופר-חוזים" ולייצר ערך מוסף למקבלי החלטות: https://t.co/xr1is1KlBK עוד על הסופר-חוזים במחקר הזה: https://t.co/qbvX32V984
@BasilHalperin In this paper, when restricting to forecasts made "quickly" (within first day of question open and within 4 minutes of starting the computer - how they know this I don't know), supers outperformed even 2nd-tier "top-team" individuals. https://t.co/zB1zCdOtrW https://t.co/SprIBlENEX
@craigtalbert @kevinnbass @carrickj @nntaleb @tell_me_muse @ReaperInTheRye @Dominic2306 @russianforces @PTetlock @yaneerbaryam Yes it does (see reference). They could, but then the definition and the ranking gets different and you would have to test a new if there is signal in the nosie. https://t.co/pbKaj6Z6Vp
Predicting the future is difficult, but some of us are better at it than others. Research by Tetlock & colleagues suggests that "Superforecasters" are partly discovered & partly created: - Intelligence, skills & motivation - Training, teaming & tracking https://t.co/Dc8XbGelcL https://t.co/0UnvbLXUe1
@DG_Rand @morewedge Many thanks for the recommendations! Part of the inspiration comes from reading Tetlock's work on superforecasters, which identified accuracy-promoting characteristics both at the trait/ability level & their social "enriched environments". https://t.co/Dc8XbGelcL https://t.co/jg38BBm1Ja
@alamasv @csanhue @AXELKAISER @PTetlock Pundits. En general en temas de política, economía o deportes. Mira por ejemplo este paper. https://t.co/13n7hzO6gK
@PhillipRotty @s8mb @iainmartin1 https://t.co/s7fjUHiyNN