Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe.

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So at minimum deaths will lag cases by a little over 3 weeks Similarly, infection-to-hospitalization is 1-2 weeks 3/n https://t.co/vzk97xGhSQ

IS

Isaac Schrarstzhaupt

@schrarstzhaupt · X

#1 - Atraso clínico (característica da doença) #2 - Notificação #3 - Prevalência de idade das infecções Marc explicou essas causas uma por uma: O atraso #1 é o mais óbvio: o tempo médio clínico entre a infecção e o óbito é de 23 dias (https://t.co/bulKJE6u3e) //4

ニ

ニューロドクター乱夢

@hichachu · X

ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

We then multiply the known age-stratified Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 with the number of cases by age group This gives us the estimated number of deaths ~3 weeks from today, as the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg. 4 of https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) 9/n

LC

laurent cappelletti

@laurentcappelle · X

Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcollege de Londres dans la revue #Nature https://t.co/FrKhMonjB3

LM

Louis Maddox

@biochemistries · X

Tutorial on Stan presented at #MLSPP2020 by Aki Vehtari https://t.co/HG5PB17qka ⛳️ @StatModeling’s golf putting example https://t.co/rpdUGg1VPD

D

DerChemiker

@DChemiker · X

@DirkLaurenz @SHomburg @besserwissi Eine Arbeit sogar noch während der aktiven Zeit bei der @unihannover. Frontiers | Commentary: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

WD

WATP-NS - Many are more afraid of life than death

@WATP_NS · X

RT @1RonanConnolly: Yes. Wood (2022) showed the 1st wave in the UK had peaked BEFORE the lockdown measures. https://t.co/nvnTgHx48v Yet, it…

DC

Dr. Ronan Connolly

@1RonanConnolly · X

Yes. Wood (2022) showed the 1st wave in the UK had peaked BEFORE the lockdown measures. https://t.co/nvnTgHx48v Yet, it wasn't published until much later. Meanwhile, Flaxman et al. (2020), claiming the measures worked, flew through the peer review process https://t.co/Bqxk8cndHy https://t.co/b0zP2ZNktx

DC

Dr. Ronan Connolly

@1RonanConnolly · X

@jercuinn Yes. Wood (2022) was a good analysis showing the 1st wave in the UK had peaked BEFORE the lockdown measures. https://t.co/nvnTgHx48v Yet, he couldn't get it published until much later. Meanwhile, Flaxman et al. (2020) flew through the peer review process https://t.co/Bqxk8cndHy

TS

TOM (SAWYER)

@bibinhafc · X

@GeorgeProfonde3 @LesbrosMarielle @lonnibesancon Encore un effort et t'es pas loin de comprendre que les confinements ont justement permis de garder ces chiffres contenus et éviter de décès évitables en réduisant le taux de reproduction. Tu peux y arriver, j'en suis convaincu. https://t.co/QOEqWaPzXF https://t.co/ObAUTYIPsT

SE

Signor Ernesto

@SignorErnesto · X

"Il numero previsto di decessi D in un dato paese in un dato giorno è una funzione del numero di infezioni C verificatisi nei giorni precedenti." Lo trovate scritto nelle informazioni supplementari https://t.co/HsAvVZy4yq del paper che più di tutti é stato usato per 1\

TS

TOM (SAWYER)

@bibinhafc · X

@DelgaFranc84274 @ArthurTouzot @maxigauch @VieDeCarabin Au contraire. Ils ont permis de gagner du temps pour préparer les infrastructures, déployer les masques, et surtout, déployer la vaccination. Sans ces mesures, la gestion de la crise aurait été bien plus chaotique. https://t.co/ObAUTYIhDl

PD

Professional Disagreer

@PDisagreer · X

@bdawson_86 @AjApplegoose @davidmarcus

TP

Timotheus Pfeiffer

@dueyesterday · X

The Lancet: "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe" Nature: "The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of COVID-19" Hinweis: Alle Informationen in diesem Artikel basieren auf wissenschaftlich fundierten Erkenntnissen und sind

TP

The COVID-19 History Project

@ThisDayinCovid · X

On this day in COVID history, June 8, 2020: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe - Nature Source: Nature #COVID #OnThisDay https://t.co/XnmNmzY37H

CB

Chuck Brannigan

@bran_chuck · X

@kevinnbass I do have specialist skills in disassembling statistical works. Here are three studies looking at longer intervals that would counter your assertion on behalf of this paper. https://t.co/aQ890lOwp5 https://t.co/Xq58qiOj3s https://t.co/Fzd1ANAps1

TL

That Covid Life

@thatcovidlife · X

Nature: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/1hAVw0PjZk

TS

TOM (SAWYER)

@bibinhafc · X

@DuvaleroyJ @CLeniata @Al12b1 @MartinZ_uncut Ha mais il est acté qu'il en a sauvé. Lors de l'attentat d'Arras, on a confiné les gamins pour les protéger. C'est la même approche. Personne n'est venu expliquer que le confinement des enfants dans l'école était une atteinte à leur liberté de circuler. https://t.co/ObAUTYIhDl

P

pieterstreicher

@pieterstreicher · X

Update: The 2020 Nature paper "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19" used an infection to death lag of 22.9 days not 17.8 days. Thanks to @gillot_john for clarifying this. https://t.co/1HAcjBGC99

K

Kniff

@DSSKniff · X

RT @pieterstreicher: @Nature It appears that the 2020 Nature paper "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-1…

P

pieterstreicher

@pieterstreicher · X

@Nature It appears that the 2020 Nature paper "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19" mistakenly used a 17.8 day symptom onset to death lag instead of a 22.8 day infection to death lag. This changes everything. (1/3) https://t.co/j5hDaQS0L8

PN

PtoCry Noom

@NPtocry · X

@leadlagreport "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe " - interventions were effective in reducing the transmission of COVID-19 and estimated that without them, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases would have been 3 to 4 times higher. (Nature ´20)

MV

M. Voerknecht

@MVoerknecht · X

@trainerpaul @mkeulemans @mariannezw Kleine moeite om bron te plaatsen. Flaxman et al. (2020, Nature, https://t.co/So7JKy26Z2) Dan kun je namelijk ook meteen doorlezen waar de zwakke punten en cirkelredeneringen zitten. Een aardige analyse o.a. in dit artikel als reactie https://t.co/tf7bdKM7Lf

SP

s243a from pearltrees

@s243a_PT · X

@WildPersistence @brosseau_lisa and also: Seth Flaxman, Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/vKvIdROZvf

JE

Józef Maria Escriva

@JozefEscriva · X

@MKawalewski @Adamek51632957 @Solost44 @karol_plewa @magdadropek No jak nie. Dokażdej swojej wypowiedzi dodali odnośniki na które się powołują. To nie wyrażanie opinii a przedstawianie analiz naukowych https://t.co/15TJkVrLXI https://t.co/f2ETiipX8I https://t.co/bVDAEB43SU https://t.co/1QxV5FHfqP https://t.co/5ifkQZKrXw https://t.co/Xa4iSR0o5R

SE

Signor Ernesto

@SignorErnesto · X

Vi faccio un esempio(drammatico) usando proprio Nature"Nature", quello che ha visto Maurizio pubblicato per 3 volte(sudate). L'8 giugno 2020 esce questo articolo su Nature https://t.co/G1SccurJtB che ha un enorme impatto mediatico e mostra come il Lockdown sia stato... 2\

FU

flavio urbinati

@flaviourbinati · X

@SignorErnesto @Nature Le serve una mano nel caso? Il link che le ho girato viene appunto dai punti (2,3) dell’introduzione dell’articolo da lei citato e si intitola “Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe”

ZZ

Zicker und Zumt

@KatinkaInBerlin · X

@NiersteSusanne @Deframing23 Du willst jetzt nicht ernsthaft, dass ich die Studien der letzen zwei Jahre raussuche, oder? Du kannst auch grob selber nachrechnen: Schau Dir an, wieviele Tote es bei 4,5% mortality hätte geben müssen und wieviele es gab. https://t.co/ZkHdrXXqf7

O

OKinOK

@OKftl · X

@PampireRN @Lurker32718532 @VPrasadMDMPH Take a few minutes. Be better. https://t.co/embrRwoifx

PK

✨ Petter Krogstad

@petteruspanus · X

@HelgeMorset @tvestly @mariustoftdahl @BalleClorin3 Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe ..Our results show that major non-pharmaceutical interventions—and lockdowns in particular—have had a large effect on reducing transmission.. https://t.co/5LBdInH5wk

N

nameresu

@nameresu · X

Уже давно выпущено исследование, доказывающее, что локдауны в начале пандемии спасли миллионы жизней: «Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe» За наводку спасибо @Popova_Nadezhda

TM

truc muche

@trucmuc28502451 · X

@Vanillasky8788 @JulienPain @MathildeGracia 1- Non, Ioannidis a écrit que des NPI plus restrictifs (more restrictive) ne réduisaient pas plus les risques. Il ne dit pas que les NPI sont inefficaces. 2- https://t.co/rHvim3waza

TS

Thomas G. Schaetzler

@ThomasGSchtzler · X

@BILD @stohr_klaus Selbsternannter Experte Klaus Stöhr irrt: Maßnahmen gegen Ausbreitung von SARS-CoV-2 haben weltweit Millionen Infektionen/Todesfälle verhindert. Ergebnisse 2er Forschergruppen Nature (2020; DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7 und 2404-8). https://t.co/VaGc71Ym4Y

MP

MEUNIER Patrick

@MEUNIERPatric11 · X

@lonnibesancon Pour préciser, il s'agit d'une étude de Ferguson et ICL. Ceux qui ont prédit 500000 mort en France ou encore 90000 en Suède. Il conclut que son modèle a permis de sauver plus de 3 millions de vies rien que pour 11 pays d’Europe. https://t.co/f8ehJWsUy6 On est jamais mieux servi.

FV

Fabian Valka

@FabianValka · X

@fwinterauer From Flaxman, S. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 1–8 (2020) doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7. You can find all the time distributions assumptions and methods on the models website details page: https://t.co/JlbOEnpncX

SF

Stephen Ferguson

@borofergie · X

RT @AlistairHaimes: @cjsnowdon @_sky_trees_ Hence Imperial pulled the forecasts from their covid model when a peer reviewer asked how accur…

AH

Alistair Haimes

@AlistairHaimes · X

@cjsnowdon @_sky_trees_ Hence Imperial pulled the forecasts from their covid model when a peer reviewer asked how accurate they were a few weeks after submission https://t.co/U4LcMVA5JX https://t.co/sZXr4CD6uZ

SH

Stefan Homburg

@SHomburg · X

@WisdomFreedom9 @Hosenmaus1 @realChrisBarth Kuhbandner C, Homburg S. Commentary: estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Front Med. (2020) 7:580361. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.580361

AS

Andy Smith

@airambulancedoc · X

@pasanto_de @johanna_kiel @OlafGersemann @welt @mariodujakovic @robert_weber @LandauDaniel @MKreutzfeld 2 – Flaxman et al. (2020) Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature.

RL

Rafa López

@Garcio72 · X

@DerechoEspana @cultrun @aier https://t.co/qIiZtnXd77

DP

David Peel

@DavidPe23306239 · X

@prisoner1968 @ddianem37 The effect of interventions on COVID-19K Soltesz, et al… - Nature, 2Commentary: estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe C Kuhbandner, S Homburg - Frontiers in Medicine, 2020 - https://t.co/UQgOCq10hB

D

dequepende

@dequepende · X

RT @Margaabella: @alonso_frutos @pvallin @enriquems_ Crec q volen dir aquest de la Rev Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical…

M

Margaabella

@Margaabella · X

@alonso_frutos @pvallin @enriquems_ Crec q volen dir aquest de la Rev Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe | Nature https://t.co/D2hZUR8RfV

MH

Matan Holzer

@MatanHolzer · X

@Marco_Piani @PienaarJm @DrSeaPerle @MLevitt_NP2013 @BenMarten @HRenkel @prof_shahar @SkyeZlatan @federicolois @AlexeyZiskin @Allconsidered1 @AlexBerenson @kaifulee @SHomburg @imperialcollege @neil_ferguson yeah, baby. read here https://t.co/yi3GpRayn2 I see you think you're very smart your last chance to behave. I don't discuss with arrogant people who have no basis for that. if you're smart, that may be justified. but I can't stand arrogant ignorants. https://t.co/B9jKtLLtCb

JB

Juffrouw B.

@Juffrouw_B · X

@ChrisSlaaptGoed @hansvantelling 7) Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/DYc8kCCoay

ML

Matías Leonel

@MatiasArlia · X

@germanedberg @jlomitas @PalacioJuanM Si tocás por ejemplo esa referencia 6, te lleva a un paper en el que realizan una evaluación de 11 países y concluyen que los lockdowns sirvieron para reducir los contagios (y, por lo tanto, las muertes por COVID-19). https://t.co/bG9UeCX91x https://t.co/j6lTccQJk7

DP

Der PansenKönig

@LibertarianReq1 · X

@Camilo2010 @OlafGersemann @AnneChristineKu @welt OK, in dem Fall hast die Studie nicht gelesen, daher hier: https://t.co/aAA0kdfXoq. Übrigens ist das kein "Widerspruch", siehe dazu aus dem Paper zu dem bekannten Flaxmann-Paper (https://t.co/q3Ra7EPBRH): https://t.co/QXh4UgHnnK

TP

Theorie als Praxis

@TaP_Theorie · X

@SabineNuss @dtrickb @ntvde @sianderl Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical inter­ventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/3jW1QnaG1M (DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7)

SC

Simone Dalle Carbonare

@SimoneDC75 · X

RT @colvieux: #Borghi "Io almeno sventolo uno studio, voi cosa avete?"parte II AGOSTO 2020: https://t.co/1GpED50OAJ Ottobre 2020: https:/…

FA

Filter Rouge  #antifascista

@filotesa · X

RT @colvieux: #Borghi "Io almeno sventolo uno studio, voi cosa avete?"parte II AGOSTO 2020: https://t.co/1GpED50OAJ Ottobre 2020: https:/…

JC

Joe Chip

@JoeChip77 · X

RT @colvieux: #Borghi "Io almeno sventolo uno studio, voi cosa avete?"parte II AGOSTO 2020: https://t.co/1GpED50OAJ Ottobre 2020: https:/…

BC

Barbara Collevecchio

@colvieux · X

#Borghi "Io almeno sventolo uno studio, voi cosa avete?"parte II AGOSTO 2020: https://t.co/1GpED50OAJ Ottobre 2020: https://t.co/7boysymqn8 Novembre 2020: https://t.co/s1SjN5LiHq

G

GabriFisico

@Gabriele_fisico · X

@Fiammo_cr @FraterVentus @borghi_claudio Leggendo Crisanti si riferiva allo stesso autore per un articolo simile del 2020. Ma ciò non toglie che quell'articolo è sparito da Stanford e non dimostra che il lock non funziona. Per esempio https://t.co/UR1DfJKYPV

G

GabriFisico

@Gabriele_fisico · X

@AngeloMarQin @Agenzia_Ansa https://t.co/UR1DfJKYPV strano è facilmente consultabile su PubMed. Anche per la plebe, ci vuole solo la volontà di capire e non belare insieme alle altre pecore ignoranti e presuntuose

G

GabriFisico

@Gabriele_fisico · X

@BobM86 @alessandricci https://t.co/UR1DfJKYPV basta cercare e voler capire

E

ertasides

@qwerty39602114 · X

@AntiPUDE @La7tv https://t.co/zd1vQtzRBy

IS

Isatou Sarr

@IsatouSarr4 · X

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/GQ3QUIaSYG

DV

Didier Villers

@linusable · X

@GuiWoelfle @dervalguillaume Il y a une étude au moins, publiée dans Nature, rien que sur la première vague, faisant une estimation (120 000) de la mortalité qui aurait été observée en Belgique en absence des mesures "non-pharmaceutiques" (confinement). Cf. https://t.co/GPzibWUzKW + https://t.co/ov9KW0EL2Y

L

lovemana0505

@lovemana0505 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

JR

Jan van Rongen

@MrOoijer · X

@MarcVegt Okay, dit zijn de verwijzingen Flaxman, S. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020). https://t.co/yeD5QR8tWW Oorspronkelijk rapport: https://t.co/g3bvgZwCja Model code en data: https://t.co/Trowi5ylXE

も

もも949

@mngb8FByNCfcBAE · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

パ

パドミニ

@ppaaddmmiinniiy · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

N

Nikkolly

@Miree808 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

O

ordinarylife

@ordinar60797695 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

T

tokurin

@JiTokurin · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

汝P

汝、翼を与える＠ばってん先に翼ばくれんね イベント・・（parody）

@ryunosinfx · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

HY

Hiroshi Yamaguchi

@HYamaguchi · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

H

Honu

@honu17755302 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

N

newmoon

@tuneleconnaispa · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

マハ

マッハ★ハムスター

@MachHamster_JPN · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

KE

Kei_Eri

@kei_chad1115 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

ケ

ケイ

@ESmdcre · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

K

kikuchiE

@chiemma44 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

Aア

Aotián アベ政治の継承を許さない

@okuokuokuma · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

WW

with a wish

@supplic10955673 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

ケ

ケン

@KeN08_1 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

誰

誰がために鐘は鳴る

@D3DpuDIADgXdPQp · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

T

tit

@tit_tit_tit · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

AH

Anonymousness metal stay home

@tersachan · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

咲

咲耶

@Nada0110tapioka · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

R

rbodpr

@ecodaren · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

ケ

ケロ爺

@kero_jiji · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

K

K

@suilen_lotus · X

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/BWrjGOG7AY

SS

S_Shimizu

@cao58020 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

梵

梵天

@yourchoicepeace · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

み

みるみる

@mirumiruminai · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

つ

つるや　ことぶき

@turututukotokot · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

デ

⚠️デマパトロール

@tarouhokennshi · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

S

so　sora

@sosorasora3 · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

内

内田

@uchida_kawasaki · X

RT @hichachu: ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimati…

ニ

ニューロドクター乱夢

@hichachu · X

ヨーロッパ11ヶ国の介入の効果を見たNature掲載の論文によると相対的な実効再生産数の減少はすさまじいものです。実効再生産数が3から4だった状態を1未満にして75％以上の減少を達成。 https://t.co/rs3A2p4y06 Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

?

12

@venetolink · X

RT @Ussignur_: @borghi_claudio @blu_mirtillo Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe Seth F…

UA

Ussi (matematica e proporzioni sono tue amiche!)

@Ussignur_ · X

@borghi_claudio @blu_mirtillo Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe Seth Flaxman, Swapnil Mishra, Axel Gandy, Samir Bhatt (= tutti dell'Imperial College; stima sulla base di un modello matematico arbitrario, non convalidato dai fatti)

IS

Isatou Sarr

@IsatouSarr4 · X

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/GQ3QUIaSYG

HP

Holly Witteman, PhD

@hwitteman · X

@MACKsarf Mais oui, monsieur ‘j’ai l’air d’un bot.’ Voici plusieurs preuves. https://t.co/SQqh38oWkZ https://t.co/PUVMoJsIOD https://t.co/u8Jy3lHT5H

MC

MEDcodigos TUSS SUS CID CBHPM

@Medcodigos · X

@KatiaAbreu @cirogomes @requiaopmdb O 1º - 06/20 com 875 citações em outros papers : Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. 257–261 (2020). https://t.co/dTVp6mtdmO O segundo c/a certificação dos dados pelos órgãos oficiais publicado 23/12

DM

Dr Eric Grossi Morato

@ericneuro · X

@josenalencar Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020). https://t.co/GjWfM1gIAt

R

RadTimba

@RadTimba · X

@fernandoulrich Flaxman, Seth, et al. "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe." Nature 584.7820 (2020): 257-261.

RM

Rodrigo E. M.

@rodrigoemsouza · X

@rntesports @mariscreuda_ @arigatogozei Você tá de brincadeira que você leu e não viu que o post contém links para, e eu acabei de enviar mais algumas vezes, um documento de peer review de um artigo publicado https://t.co/f9cGdS4HUd

RM

Rodrigo E. M.

@rodrigoemsouza · X

@rntesports @mariscreuda_ @arigatogozei Falácia do Espantalho. https://t.co/f9cGdS4HUd

RM

Rodrigo E. M.

@rodrigoemsouza · X

@rntesports @mariscreuda_ @arigatogozei Se tivesse realmente interessado em aprender e não impor ideias teria lido e veria que é a a análise do artigo por dois cientistas que escreveram este aqui: https://t.co/f9cGdS4HUd

RM

Rodrigo E. M.

@rodrigoemsouza · X

@rntesports @mariscreuda_ @arigatogozei Se tivesse realmente interessado em aprender e não impor ideias teria lido e veria que é a a análise do artigo por dois cientistas que escreveram este aqui: https://t.co/f9cGdS4HUd

S

SheelaghG.

@SheelaghG · X

RT @AlistairHaimes: and people might also find some of the peer review comments very interesting: https://t.co/U4LcMVA5JX

AH

Alistair Haimes

@AlistairHaimes · X

and people might also find some of the peer review comments very interesting: https://t.co/U4LcMVA5JX

AM

Alexandre Matos

@Xandi81 · X

RT @carlitocorrea: "Estudo indica que lockdown salvou 3 milhões de vidas na Europa" "Inglaterra: Estudo mostra forte queda nas infecções p…

CC

Carlos Corrêa

@carlitocorrea · X

"Estudo indica que lockdown salvou 3 milhões de vidas na Europa" "Inglaterra: Estudo mostra forte queda nas infecções por covid-19" "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe" MAS O PREFEITO DIZ QUE NÃO HÁ EVIDÊNCIAS QUE FUNCIONE.

A

Axel7

@Axel707969576 · X

@ve_mauro @Gilgamesh__Fate @EnricoCEngelma1 @stebellentani @Cartabellotta "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020)."

AR

Antonio Ripa

@antonioripa · X

#Covid19Italia Durante la prima ondata #LockDown ha salvato circa 3.200.000 di vite umane "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020)." https://t.co/TQqlxhek4T https://t.co/l8tqlTFUBg

P

Paolo

@PaulGar38504577 · X

RT @DragonFly_JMK: @KimCarolC @ollysmithtravel @allisonpearson EDE.0b013e31817734ba https://t.co/6eHraaIMxm https://t.co/D4lQUhIAWr https:/…

D

Dragster

@DragonFly_JMK · X

@KimCarolC @ollysmithtravel @allisonpearson EDE.0b013e31817734ba https://t.co/6eHraaIMxm https://t.co/D4lQUhIAWr https://t.co/5103lsCCY1 https://t.co/DVJyN6Rc2C https://t.co/AbHKM40V5I https://t.co/iUe8BHY3h8 https://t.co/V3Pw5sewoz https://t.co/ZrflHo4jiW https://t.co/q8ZjIyEmwN https://t.co/uOw3bBiQX6

AS

Atomsk's Sanakan

@AtomsksSanakan · X

22/Y Interventions began before cases/day decreased: p 28: https://t.co/TgUKVtdFzm https://t.co/W5hcRX0Fbj https://t.co/ew9xlIWuIf RKI accepts non-pharmaceutical interventions limit spread: 8:58 - 10:10 : https://t.co/rjdSjbneaN https://t.co/ztdCGPLrsz https://t.co/YAxEjkPXD9 https://t.co/UVigrf3E0A

N

Namastè

@Namast70961553 · X

RT @antonioripa: #TalkAboutScience Durante la prima ondata #LockDown ha salvato circa 3.200.000 di vite umane "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S.,…

GB

Giggi Barbone

@GiggioBarbone · X

RT @antonioripa: #TalkAboutScience Durante la prima ondata #LockDown ha salvato circa 3.200.000 di vite umane "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S.,…

F

Failbetter

@Failbetter6 · X

RT @antonioripa: #TalkAboutScience Durante la prima ondata #LockDown ha salvato circa 3.200.000 di vite umane "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S.,…

M

Mαrlix

@Marlfix · X

RT @antonioripa: #TalkAboutScience Durante la prima ondata #LockDown ha salvato circa 3.200.000 di vite umane "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S.,…

AR

Antonio Ripa

@antonioripa · X

#TalkAboutScience Durante la prima ondata #LockDown ha salvato circa 3.200.000 di vite umane "Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020)." #ACivicDuty #Covid19Italia https://t.co/6qySWFBm3z

MJ

Malcolm James

@malcolmjames01 · X

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe | Nature https://t.co/O9L8TiOE7w

TG

Thomas Gevaert

@GevaertThomas · X

3/ Wetenschap is nooit absoluut, en wetenschappers discussiëren constant. Link naar Nature paper: https://t.co/NJcguIsJ3c Link naar kritische comment op de paper: https://t.co/WSACXDdYKi

TP

Theorie als Praxis

@TaP_Theorie · X

@Sabeth_Faber @Tagesspiegel Seth Flaxman et al., Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe, in: Nature Vol. 584, 257 - 261; https://t.co/7Ync08QvE3 (DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7)

K

Kniff

@DSSKniff · X

@DonKamillo8 @ElaGebi @furanfc @hendrikstreeck Betracht wird nur das Frühjahr. hier ist der peer review file zur Studie https://t.co/44ro9Xz3tm Für mich seltsam, dass in Fig 1 Schweden nicht auftaucht, obwohl in der Studie betrachtet.

DP

Der Pommert

@Der_Pommert · X

@johannes_lue @robert_mey @Linuzifer @anked Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020). https://t.co/6oW7UflQ8e

E

Eisbär

@Eisbaer_LE · X

@DennisFeininger Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/QESxZlCCWp https://t.co/y6lRtcz2fp

JT

Jeff Tessier

@JeanFranoisTes4 · X

@Jefffillion https://t.co/Pc9weTTufD

S

Sil ⭐️ ⭐⭐

@Si_LMann · X

2 - Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/adsNYGxAsV

PA

Paul Almond

@Paul_Almond · X

@JuliaHB1 @Samfr Study: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe "Our results show that major non-pharmaceutical interventions—and lockdowns in particular—have had a large effect on reducing transmission." https://t.co/L8KSUlLmlz

Z

Zugzwang

@zugzwang2007 · X

@Boba_Ball_ @andrew_croxford Arguments for the hermetic effectiveness of Lockdown1 have tended to be circular. Estimates of lives saved in Wave1 (eg https://t.co/IC3yHWX5JD) were vainglorious, based on dubious choices of counterfactual. But at least the viability of the NHS was not worsened by the strategy.

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

@JacobGudiol @feheva @faktuellt @dongdon49026332 @CovidXIX @adamaltmejd Nope. Mean infection-to-death was 22.9 days in Spring. Likely longer nowadays (thx to improving treatments) See page 4 of https://t.co/qO6khGDnJE

GM

Garby Matthieu

@matthieugarby · X

@KabaDia22130331 @Cest__Carre @Drmartyufml @Bilylaclic1 @brutofficiel Quand même, il y a de la biblio la dessus... - https://t.co/iMGptIt7ji - https://t.co/1osWcSawY8

MB

Mr. Blue

@Ptorresb2906 · X

RT @emulenews: #Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/MTmUoxs2fS for all of…

FR

Fernando A. Crespo R

@fdocrespo · X

RT @emulenews: #Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/MTmUoxs2fS for all of…

N

nada

@rexonsjose · X

RT @emulenews: #Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/MTmUoxs2fS for all of…

IC

Ignacio Crespo

@SdeStendhal · X

RT @emulenews: #Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/MTmUoxs2fS for all of…

FV

Francis Villatoro

@emulenews · X

#Nature Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/MTmUoxs2fS for all of the 11 countries considered, current interventions have been sufficient to drive Rt below 1. @pcoffeebreak @SdeStendhal https://t.co/77g7bDKByo

MM

Martin Lerchner, Dr., MBA

@RENT_A_MANAGER · X

Commentary: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/F8eH7JxBZS

B

BakuninsTraum

@BakuninsT · X

Gemäß dieser Studie (Seite 4) gibt es eine Gamma-Verteilung bei den Sterbefällen und zwischen Symptombeginn und Tod vergehen im Mittel 17,8 Tage. /3 https://t.co/19OexxtMaQ

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

@boutros555 Yes I have. See pg. 4 of https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc Average infection-to-onset is 5.1 days

HP

Hugh Polnic

@PolignacPrince · X

Oh dear, why quote this rather poor article which looked at a completely different issue when there are good studies that show that lockdowns do in fact work: for example https://t.co/aF9Qd1AHR4 https://t.co/3rlwzbW5jr

CM

Constantly Done Man

@mwmjenard · X

RT @jeremyrhammond: Here is a good example of a study following this pattern of begging the question, i.e., presuming the proposition to be…

CW

Chris Warren

@chris_warren7 · X

RT @jeremyrhammond: Here is a good example of a study following this pattern of begging the question, i.e., presuming the proposition to be…

JC

Jennifer Cabrera

@jhaskinscabrera · X

RT @jeremyrhammond: Here is a good example of a study following this pattern of begging the question, i.e., presuming the proposition to be…

RL

Ruben Levario

@RubenLevario · X

RT @jeremyrhammond: Here is a good example of a study following this pattern of begging the question, i.e., presuming the proposition to be…

L

LibKey

@libkey_io · X

@jeremyrhammond Access the paywalled article from your library: https://t.co/wJSe254NQq Promote scholarly access to content by simply adding https://t.co/SXSePSX5De in front of any DOI

JH

Jeremy R. Hammond

@jeremyrhammond · X

Here is a good example of a study following this pattern of begging the question, i.e., presuming the proposition to be proven in their premise (petitio principii fallacy): https://t.co/pHvJXns70i https://t.co/IqXkB5vzjF

SC

Sahba Ferdowsi DO (conciergedoc)

@DrFerdowsi · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

OC

One-nation conservative

@oneconservatism · X

RT @zorinaq: We then multiply the known age-stratified Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 with the number of cases by age group This giv…

DI

David Isaksen

@davidisaksen · X

RT @zorinaq: We then multiply the known age-stratified Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 with the number of cases by age group This giv…

GV

gmopundit (David Tribe Ph.D.) Vinceremo

@gmopundit · X

RT @zorinaq: We then multiply the known age-stratified Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 with the number of cases by age group This giv…

JN

JB | Jürgen Beust | NRW |

@JuergenBeust · X

RT @zorinaq: We then multiply the known age-stratified Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 with the number of cases by age group This giv…

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

We then multiply the known age-stratified Infection Fatality Ratio of COVID-19 with the number of cases by age group This gives us the estimated number of deaths ~3 weeks from today, as the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg. 4 of https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) 9/n

D

Dataspekt

@dataspekt · X

Jedna od procjena sličnog, ali ne posve istog razdoblja kaže da od nastupa simptoma do smrti protekne oko 18 dana. https://t.co/cb1uBsq8PD https://t.co/bdgrxLhvDY

ML

Matías Leonel

@MatiasArlia · X

@CarlitoAquinoG @onatridente @GiacoDiego @_horseman25 @aetchebarne En este paper realizan una evaluación de 11 países y concluyen que los lockdowns sirvieron para reducir los contagios (y, por lo tanto, las muertes por COVID-19). https://t.co/bG9UeCX91x https://t.co/wKg83cPiNx

ML

Matthias Linden

@matthiaslinden · X

@SHomburg @neil_ferguson final form == preprint. The first point of criticism vanishes into thin air, as soon as one takes a look at Flaxman et al.'s supplements. - Saturation is explicitly modeled. Apparently, neither the author nor the reviewer has worked that thoroughly. https://t.co/YXoLqpLyLr https://t.co/dpRHykBvhJ

ML

Matthias Linden

@matthiaslinden · X

@C_Siemering @HannesR10 Auch ein Blick in die Supplements hätte gezeigt, dass Sättigung durch finite Population Teil des Modells ist. https://t.co/YXoLqpLyLr Auch der Reviewer hat also ganze Arbeit geleistet. https://t.co/CmZy5PDdU1

M

MyJournals

@myjournals · X

Commentary: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/ksPGfSfoQA

ML

Micaela A. Larkin

@MicaelaALarkin · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

TS

Thierry "Tex" Souccar

@thierrysouccar · X

@Bourgeoisavcden @kevinbossuet Des études scientifiques, il y en a plein. En voilà 2 récentes Flaxman S. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature. 2020; 584: 257-261 Salje H. Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France. Science. 2020; 369: 208-211

QT

Que tristreza

@MarianaBoava · X

RT @schrarstzhaupt: #1 - Atraso clínico (característica da doença) #2 - Notificação #3 - Prevalência de idade das infecções Marc explicou…

S

silv

@silvrib · X

RT @schrarstzhaupt: #1 - Atraso clínico (característica da doença) #2 - Notificação #3 - Prevalência de idade das infecções Marc explicou…

H

hannna

@hannahumming · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

E

ElisetePaes

@ElisetePaes · X

RT @schrarstzhaupt: #1 - Atraso clínico (característica da doença) #2 - Notificação #3 - Prevalência de idade das infecções Marc explicou…

I

iwasid

@iwasid · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

IS

Isaac Schrarstzhaupt

@schrarstzhaupt · X

#1 - Atraso clínico (característica da doença) #2 - Notificação #3 - Prevalência de idade das infecções Marc explicou essas causas uma por uma: O atraso #1 é o mais óbvio: o tempo médio clínico entre a infecção e o óbito é de 23 dias (https://t.co/bulKJE6u3e) //4

S

silv

@silvrib · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

ML

Matías Leonel

@MatiasArlia · X

@victor5005 @SDemaria @a_urizio @Gus_Noriega Es un paper, sesgamón. https://t.co/bG9UeCX91x

ML

Matías Leonel

@MatiasArlia · X

@victor5005 @SDemaria @a_urizio @Gus_Noriega En este paper realizan una evaluación de 11 países y concluyen que los lockdowns sirvieron para reducir los contagios (y, por lo tanto, las muertes por COVID-19). https://t.co/bG9UeCX91x https://t.co/SGPbLNAzZl

JT

Joanna Teglund

@JoannaTeglund · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

R

RogueLemming

@ForgeRat · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

ID

6ix Dweller

@buddah67 · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

DM

Deming (mascarilla

@Deming_WE · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

ГБ

Габриэла Б.

@Gabisilandia · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

DJ

Dr. Jackson

@cowtowncoder · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

TD

T. Greg Doucette

@greg_doucette · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

DR

(((Dorit Reiss)))

@doritmi · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

Aا

Aldamir الدامیر

@Aldamir · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

DB

David Baker

@DavidBa69494891 · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

S

Seeko

@BB_Seeko · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

HC

Hernán Cortés

@albufalo · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

L

lili

@Meernaa89 · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

NO

No one

@ungubunugu1274 · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

BD

B A Dusername

@DusernameA · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

BM

Bethe Merle Boston McK.

@BetheMckenzie · X

RT @zorinaq: Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So a…

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

Lag #1 is the most obvious: clinically the mean infection-to-death time is 22.9 days (see pg 4: https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) So at minimum deaths will lag cases by a little over 3 weeks Similarly, infection-to-hospitalization is 1-2 weeks 3/n https://t.co/vzk97xGhSQ

R

Rick

@Rick82Ramirez · X

The memo said Lockdowns “was essential to reduce mortality” Their source: Another modeling study thats weak evidence https://t.co/h5aoWMdSvw Why not use this higher quality Lancet study of 50 countries? https://t.co/hiOrshc2dK Or these studies? https://t.co/XCKJKxANSX 4/ https://t.co/PBcKMhmWbA

OS

O'Sulick

@OSulick · X

@allisonpearson "You end up with the same number of deaths" ? Please share the data that supports your statement. In the meantime, here's data published in Nature research journal indicating lockdown interventions are very effective at reducing community transmission. https://t.co/kYs8a9Talr https://t.co/Dg268XobLM

דP

דוד David Preiss

@DavidDPreiss · X

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe | Nature https://t.co/QMh6d1mXlg

RO

Robert Oster

@RobertOster9 · X

1/4: Die internationale, wissenschaftliche Studie zeigt, dass alle Maßnahmen im März / April einen erhebl.Einfluss auf die Eindämmung der Pandemie hatten: Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature https://t.co/A1UNsTqnoE… (2020) https://t.co/s1Xjy68JkO

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

@KiwiRational @12FreeBeer It does line up: Today we observe 1.1 deaths/day in Sweden Infection-to-death mean time is 22.9 days (https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) 22.9 days ago there were 240 cases/day 1.1/240 implies IFR of 0.46%, which supports our estimate (0.5-1.0%)

FP

François Pottier

@fpottier57 · X

3.1 million deaths have been averted across Europe (estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19) https://t.co/QnZBbWYgHy via @nresearchnews #COVID19 #Europe

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

Besides, 11 days (9/25 to 10/6) is far too short to measure Rt changes Mean infection-to-onset is 5.1 days (see pg. 4 https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) People wait a few days to get tested 1-2 day reporting lag → At best @BenMarten is considering 2-3 day's worth of data. Ridiculous.

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

@DirtyMikeMusic No, it will take minimum 3 weeks (or a month like Florida https://t.co/ifoA6zmud2) before we see deaths rise significantly, because: (1) cause the mean time from infection to death is 22.9 days (see pg. 4 in https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) (2) the mean age of cases may be decreasing

T

tnbsc

@tnsbc · X

@aaronyokheved @JongoCervantes ¿La curva de

M

morningtiger

@morningtigert · X

RT @zorinaq: Trump was most likely infected on or around Sep 27 He showed symptoms this morning and the mean time from infection to onset…

G

Giorgio

@jorgeMCR200491 · X

RT @papayaykware: De counterpropaganda Homburg, S. y Kuhbandner, C. : "Los 2 efectos ilusorios de las intervenciones no farmacéuticas para…

JC

Javi Ciborro

@papayaykware · X

De counterpropaganda Homburg, S. y Kuhbandner, C. : "Los 2 efectos ilusorios de las intervenciones no farmacéuticas para el Covid-19 en Europa" (En inglés). Estos autores comentan el artículo presentado en Nature por Flaxman y otros (2020, Nature, https://t.co/n5WXLIxgbZ), en el

BB

Beto Borbolla

@xcoatl · X

RT @zorinaq: Trump was most likely infected on or around Sep 27 He showed symptoms this morning and the mean time from infection to onset…

SS

Silver Slicer

@SilverSlicerWA · X

RT @zorinaq: Trump was most likely infected on or around Sep 27 He showed symptoms this morning and the mean time from infection to onset…

S

suZen

@suZen · X

RT @zorinaq: Trump was most likely infected on or around Sep 27 He showed symptoms this morning and the mean time from infection to onset…

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

Trump was most likely infected on or around Sep 27 He showed symptoms this morning and the mean time from infection to onset of symptoms is 5.1 days (see pg. 4 https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) However the mean infection-to-onset time is probably shorter for older persons.

P

perlatex

@wang_minjie · X

RT @biochemistries: Tutorial on Stan presented at #MLSPP2020 by Aki Vehtari https://t.co/HG5PB17qka ⛳️ @StatModeling’s golf putting exampl…

PC

Probably Approximately Correct

@PAClearning · X

RT @biochemistries: Tutorial on Stan presented at #MLSPP2020 by Aki Vehtari https://t.co/HG5PB17qka ⛳️ @StatModeling’s golf putting exampl…

LM

Louis Maddox

@biochemistries · X

Tutorial on Stan presented at #MLSPP2020 by Aki Vehtari https://t.co/HG5PB17qka ⛳️ @StatModeling’s golf putting example https://t.co/rpdUGg1VPD

MG

M Gabriela M Gomes

@mgmgomes1 · X

@BillHanage @ottartwain @johnmcclean_ie @CovidSerology @greg_travis @Bernp1953P @GidMK @Craig_1_1_7 @bealelab @InCytometry @JohnGee55117754 @ScienceShared @zorinaq Our Sept 28 preprint is not a standalone paper but an appraisal of a homogeneity assumption in https://t.co/MKWCeSAiF7 We have not modified the original model other than relaxing key constraints to conduct our assessment and added minimal sensitivity analysis to make our point.

B

bbddpp

@bbddpp · X

RT @zorinaq: Remember that cases are a leading indicator. Hospitalizations and deaths will increase, but in a little while. Specifically d…

IL

it is I, Leclerc

@itsme_leclerc · X

RT @zorinaq: Remember that cases are a leading indicator. Hospitalizations and deaths will increase, but in a little while. Specifically d…

DF

Dr F Tétard Matr 1620 @nacrespirale.cpesr.fr

@NACREspirale · X

RT @zorinaq: Remember that cases are a leading indicator. Hospitalizations and deaths will increase, but in a little while. Specifically d…

T

Theotime

@theotime_ · X

RT @zorinaq: Remember that cases are a leading indicator. Hospitalizations and deaths will increase, but in a little while. Specifically d…

MB

Marc Bevand

@zorinaq · X

Remember that cases are a leading indicator. Hospitalizations and deaths will increase, but in a little while. Specifically deaths lag cases by 3 weeks (mean infection-to-death time is 23d https://t.co/qO6khGUYBc) and hospitalizations lag cases by ~1 week

AS

Atomsk's Sanakan

@AtomsksSanakan · X

@NahasNewman Re: "Schools in Sweden were kept open during peak spread" https://t.co/pOMFKpK7UI https://t.co/ysaazWjszO https://t.co/1l6RROX62f

G

Grownmangrumbles

@Grownmangrumble · X

@carolTrill2 @ALoveGlow Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020).

P

PAO

@peterandann · X

RT @zorinaq: In fact, based on this data, I expect Florida deaths to surge to new records in the coming 2-4 weeks, because the mean time fr…

PG

Paul Gaspais

@Paul_Gaspais · X

@zerohedge Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584, 257–261 (2020). |COVID_19 #CORONA_VIRUS #epidemic #pandemic #Health #SRAS_CoV_2 #SARS https://t.co/Xn5iURzLZC

RO

Robert Oster

@RobertOster9 · X

Folgende wissenschaftliche Studie zeigt, dass alle Maßnahmen einen erhebl.Einfluss auf die Eindämmung der Pandemie hatten-auch der eingeschränkte Lockdown. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature https://t.co/A1UNsTqnoE… (2020) https://t.co/NykzsEzbHd

Z

Zugzwang

@zugzwang2007 · X

@BallouxFrancois He and his colleagues should not have written the paper (Flaxman et al Nature, https://t.co/IC3yHWX5JD) where it was claimed that the measures had saved over 3 million lives. This was to make themselves ridiculous, when they could have got away with honour.

B

Bob

@fluxcapdoodah · X

RT @StatModeling: “Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe” https://t.co/OQ7c3fVN3S

DM

Daniel Margrain

@hairymarx1 · X

@SnrLabourSauce @NotStarmer @Keir_Starmer 2/2 This was first argued by this Bristol study, applying the average time from infection to death: https://t.co/w7CvuyagkD Similar and relevant evidence can be found here: https://t.co/KzpQgeXfpS

G

GFOSS

@gfoss_en · X

RT @louridas: Effectiveness of different interventions on Rt https://t.co/UqbRK8QHF5 from Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical inte…

DV

Didier Villers

@linusable · X

@DianorVallon Voici un peu de lecture pour alimenter les réflexions et fantasmes de certains : "Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe", juin 2020, https://t.co/wzJ7hJn6Pj → Extended Data Table 1 → 110 000 pour la Belgique dans la dernière colonne !

RO

Robert Oster

@RobertOster9 · X

RT @RobertOster9: @SHomburg Kennen Sie die folgende wissenschaftliche Studie? Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions o…

RO

Robert Oster

@RobertOster9 · X

@SHomburg Kennen Sie die folgende wissenschaftliche Studie? Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature https://t.co/u9aMt9ZIAM (2020) Ergebnis: Alle Maßnahmen hatten erheblichen Einfluß auf die Eindämmung der Pandamie in Deutschland. https://t.co/pCrkIqlvUX

MP

Michael Abdelnoor Dr.Phil

@HiramMikael · X

Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/fFooGtN1gi

MP

Michael Abdelnoor Dr.Phil

@HiramMikael · X

Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/fFooGu4C7Q

BD

Béjar Díaz

@ManuelBejar · X

@ceciliablume Imperial College London: Intervenciones no farmacéuticas evitaron el fallecimiento de 3.1 millones de personas en 11 países de Europa. Y eso que no consideran la saturación del sistema de salud. https://t.co/DIBGOzGJQj

PS

Para Staffing

@ParaStaffing · X

Estimating the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe - PubMed https://t.co/QesG76NQ88

BG

Burkhard Göke

@ProfGoeke · X

Waren die Corona-Maßnahmen übertrieben? ...vermutet Hendrik Streeck. Immerhin wurden Leben gerettet. #coronahh https://t.co/rH6i8hz5L7

BL

Björn Lohmann

@balohmann · X

@csdings @digitalblamage Habe gerade nur die aktuelle Nature-Studie greifbar, aber es gibt mindestens eine weitere gute Arbeit mit ähnlichem Ergebnis. https://t.co/cWdIRLRM28

PJ

Paul Jaymes

@paul_jaymes · X

For the #COVID__19 "#Lockdown doesn't work" crowd to digest (or more likely, ingore) - Two new studies showing it er, does work rather well. Flaxman, S., Mishra, S., Gandy, A. et al. https://t.co/Wkhm25IoFH Hsiang, S. et al. Nature https://t.co/QQx7I8Ic76

DR

Dom Richard

@Richard_trois · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

MC

Murielle.K . je suis fière d'être congolaise

@MurielKaba11 · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

GB

Gilles Bessenay

@GBessenay · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

TP

Thierry Pram

@thierryPram · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

SB

Serge Beynet

@SBeynet · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

J

Jo

@JoMarFeuil · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

JC

Jean-Louis C

@Jihel93 · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

AM

Alain Mary

@AlainMary2a · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

DH

Djebar HAMMOUCHE

@hdjebar · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

LJ

Lyliane Jacobson

@LylJac92 · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

CD

Christian Dominé

@ChristianDomine · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

CR

Christophe R

@bonuscr · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

B

Blavet 2017

@Blavet2017 · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

MF

Maryse Ferrière

@FerriereMaryse · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

EB

ellen bergdoll

@HeleneBergdoll · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

P

Papageno

@ArizonaDream14 · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

C

Caroline

@CarolineCamill4 · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

MM

Mauguio-Carnon Authentique & Moderne

@34_constructifs · X

RT @laurentcappelle: Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcol…

LC

laurent cappelletti

@laurentcappelle · X

Le confinement en France aurait évité 700 000 morts du #COVID19 selon un nouvel article des chercheurs de @imperialcollege de Londres dans la revue #Nature https://t.co/FrKhMonjB3

J

jayoujin

@innostudy · X

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe https://t.co/3yJZMXCChZ