☹️ Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/cBjlO75GrW
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario.
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Jun 2023 – Aug 2025Where it's discussed
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The group emphasizes the urgency and significance of the findings, with phrases like 'reaching an important tipping point' and 'quicker than expected,' which convey both concern and the potential for profound environmental impacts. The tone is serious and motivated, and words like 'tremendous consequences' and references to model limitations and observational data highlight high engagement and perceived impact of the study on climate discourse.
Most posts strongly support the significance of the study, emphasizing the early occurrence of an ice-free Arctic even under low emissions, indicating broad consensus on the findings.
The discussions show high curiosity, with many posts referencing specific projections, model limitations, and implications, reflecting active engagement and concern.
Many posts analyze the study's methodology, highlight model discrepancies, and discuss future climate impacts, demonstrating deep intellectual engagement.
The discussions suggest that this research could be a tipping point, with many perceiving it as having substantial consequences for climate policy and environmental awareness.
Abstract in brief
- The IPCC sixth assessment report suggests that the Arctic is likely to be ice-free in September by midcentury under medium and high emission scenarios, but not under low emissions, based on CMIP6 climate models.
- An analysis shows that greenhouse gases have a strong influence on Arctic sea ice across all months, but current models tend to underestimate this effect.
- By adjusting model responses to better match observed data, the study projects an ice-free Arctic in September across all emission scenarios, highlighting the urgent need for adaptation to a seasonally ice-free Arctic in the near future.]
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Most liked on X and Bluesky"... even the lowest IPCC emissions scenario will bring us to an ice free Arctic by 2030" 'Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario' https://t.co/WTl9cvjge0
Kim, YH., Min, SK., Gillett, N.P. et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/MW9VfQxtA8
@CTVNews This study did not test with models in a "low emission" scenario. "Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario" "...observed trend in an approach validated in an imperfect model test...]
人間活動の影響が寄与するの一方、エーロゾルと自然要因(太陽活動や火山活動など)の寄与がはるかに小さいことも判明したという。 https://t.co/4hluiKU7RK
The study in "Nature Communications" the above "Guardian" article is based upon, & links to: “Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario” 2/2 https://t.co/EHT1vB5eMP
All mentions
Projected Ice-Free Arctic Under Different Emission Scenarios
The IPCC sixth assessment reports that the Arctic may become ice-free in September by midcentury. Our analysis suggests current models underestimate greenhouse gases' impact, indicating an ice-free Arctic could occur…
@velardedaoiz2 Extensión ≠ grosor. Puede pausarse la extensión y seguir cayendo el volumen (extensión×grosor) por adelgazamiento https://t.co/CAXRUtlSOj https://t.co/PMKV5Ey1gQ https://t.co/Wd5K1TP5JM
Slowly model results are closing in on an Arctic sea ice free September: "The stronger SIA declines have advanced first ice-free years to around the 2030s–50s in all SSP scenarios." Sadly, the spread is way too large as it could happen as early as 2027-2030... #CIMP5 #CIMP6 #CMIP7 #climate
And here another study - this time as early as 2030: "Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario"; www.nature.com/articles/s41... Important the more recent the studies the more earlier the first ice free year is projected... #CMIP7
The first ice-free day in the Arctic Ocean could occur before 2030 Heuzé & Jahn. 2024 www.nature.com/articles/s41... Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario Kim et al. 2023 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
RT @tynewrc: "... even the lowest IPCC emissions scenario will bring us to an ice free Arctic by 2030" 'Observationally-constrained projec…
RT @tynewrc: "... even the lowest IPCC emissions scenario will bring us to an ice free Arctic by 2030" 'Observationally-constrained projec…
RT @tynewrc: "... even the lowest IPCC emissions scenario will bring us to an ice free Arctic by 2030" 'Observationally-constrained projec…
"... even the lowest IPCC emissions scenario will bring us to an ice free Arctic by 2030" 'Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario' https://t.co/WTl9cvjge0
@JamesMelville Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/ecs8ApM9qk
@NdabaningiMoyo @Benjibon @ChrisMartzWX Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario, Yeon-Hee Kim et al. https://t.co/8EktqoeCr1
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/FOQEgcbuYo
Proyecciones demuestran como el hielo marino del Ártico va a reducirse, principalmente como consecuencia de los gases de efecto invernadero Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/1tb3prTRTF
RT @LaboratorioETN: Proyecciones a futuro demuestran como el hielo marino del Ártico va a reducirse, principalmente como una consecuencia d…
Proyecciones a futuro demuestran como el hielo marino del Ártico va a reducirse, principalmente como una consecuencia de los gases de efecto invernadero Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/1tb3prTRTF
RT @AndrewW66619812: The study in "Nature Communications" the above "Guardian" article is based upon, & links to: “Observationally-constra…
2. Kim, YH., Min, SK., Gillett, N.P. et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario. Nat Commun 14, 3139 (2023). https://t.co/p5rw7xYg5J
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/BSbYBJbnqW
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/o1Ph6ZQDbx
Le premier mois de septembre sans glace de mer en Arctique pourrait survenir dès les années 2030, selon les auteur·rices de cette étude. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario. https://t.co/8jKA92HR1O
2. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/fctFYHOZCi
☹️ Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/cBjlO75GrW
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario Yeon-Hee Kim, Seung-Ki Min, Nathan P. Gillett, Dirk Notz & Elizaveta Malinina https://t.co/lvL4lwupSo
RT @OrganicNewsClip: 人間活動の影響が寄与するの一方、エーロゾルと自然要因(太陽活動や火山活動など)の寄与がはるかに小さいことも判明したという。 https://t.co/4hluiKU7RK
人間活動の影響が寄与するの一方、エーロゾルと自然要因(太陽活動や火山活動など)の寄与がはるかに小さいことも判明したという。 https://t.co/4hluiKU7RK
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/BSbYBJbnqW
@7udfjirfji9re91 @Robert76907841 @JM990275 @ejwwest @CColose Kim etal (2023) DOI 10.1038/s41467-023-38511-8 its a good article but as Axios is a media concern they contracted some of the relevant content which are the constraints of the models however their CMIP6 raw data is available https://t.co/LWyWBRfAdu
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications We are reaching an important tipping point https://t.co/RqU5EcJ8UG
No more pack-ice in Arctic by 2030. It is quicker than expected. It will happen whatever we do. It will have tremendous consequences. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/IHPUesdX9T
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/Lbldm213gW
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/fi8AOAbib6
Climate models produce too much #Arctic #seaice relative to observed & reconstructed past warm periods. Hence, future sea-ice will be gone earlier: Kim et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/Fz0wk6JQPw
RT @AndrewW66619812: The study in "Nature Communications" the above "Guardian" article is based upon, & links to: “Observationally-constra…
"Results indicate that the first sea ice-free September will occur as early as the 2030s–2050s irrespective of emission scenarios." Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario Ncom https://t.co/xEGfqGSvdT
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/9F7uQ797lS
@graeme_cobb This was a Guardian article about a scientific paper in the journal Nature, which says exactly the same in more technical language. Nothing to do with MSM, which - incidentally - generally understates climate issues. https://t.co/OPwaNVZ6Jo
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario - https://t.co/lPzi6Ue4La
RT @IBergwiesel: Kim, YH., Min, SK., Gillett, N.P. et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low e…
Kim, YH., Min, SK., Gillett, N.P. et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario https://t.co/MW9VfQxtA8
@CTVNews This study did not test with models in a "low emission" scenario. "Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario" "...observed trend in an approach validated in an imperfect model test...]
@IEA @IPCC_CH The research paper described by @dpcarrington, published today: Kim, YH., Min, SK., Gillett, N.P. et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario. Nat Commun 14, 3139 (2023). https://t.co/54dlLO4x5x https://t.co/BLEixezFBJ https://t.co/xPqklq313z
@IPCC_CH The research paper described by @dpcarrington, published today; Kim, YH., Min, SK., Gillett, N.P. et al. Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario. Nat Commun 14, 3139 (2023). https://t.co/54dlLO4x5x https://t.co/BLEixezFBJ https://t.co/6YzH4JjqTs
The study in "Nature Communications" the above "Guardian" article is based upon, & links to: “Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario” 2/2 https://t.co/EHT1vB5eMP
Observationally-constrained projections of an ice-free Arctic even under a low emission scenario | Nature Communications https://t.co/iv5gdN1tmt