Publications by authors named "Nicholas Reich"

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Coordinating collaborative infectious disease modeling projects with the hubverse.

medRxiv· October 2025

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Multi-model ensembles in infectious disease and public health: Methods, interpretation, and implementation in R.
Li Shandross, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Harry Hochheiser, Anna Krystalli, Nicholas G Reich

medRxiv· May 2025

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Flusion: Integrating multiple data sources for accurate influenza predictions.
Evan L Ray, Yijin Wang, Russell D Wolfinger, Nicholas G Reich

Epidemics· March 2025

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Evaluating infectious disease forecasts with allocation scoring rules.
Aaron Gerding, Nicholas G Reich, Benjamin Rogers, Evan L Ray

J R Stat Soc Ser A Stat Soc· December 2024

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Optimizing Disease Outbreak Forecast Ensembles.
Spencer J Fox, Minsu Kim, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Nicholas G Reich, Evan L Ray

Emerg Infect Dis· September 2024

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Title evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations.
Sarabeth M Mathis, Alexander E Webber, Tomás M León, Erin L Murray, Monica Sun, Nicholas G Reich

Nat Commun· July 2024

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Infectious disease surveillance needs for the United States: lessons from Covid-19.
Marc Lipsitch, Mary T Bassett, John S Brownstein, Paul Elliott, David Eyre, Nicholas G Reich

Front Public Health· July 2024

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Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021.
Velma K Lopez, Estee Y Cramer, Robert Pagano, John M Drake, Eamon B O'Dea, Nicholas G Reich

PLoS Comput Biol· May 2024

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Assessing the utility of COVID-19 case reports as a leading indicator for hospitalization forecasting in the United States.
Nicholas G Reich, Yijin Wang, Meagan Burns, Rosa Ergas, Estee Y Cramer

Epidemics· December 2023

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Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations.
Sarabeth M Mathis, Alexander E Webber, Tomás M León, Erin L Murray, Monica Sun, Nicholas G Reich

medRxiv· December 2023

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Comparison of combination methods to create calibrated ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.
Nutcha Wattanachit, Evan L Ray, Thomas C McAndrew, Nicholas G Reich

Stat Med· November 2023

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Correction: Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines.
Simon Pollett, Michael A Johansson, Nicholas G Reich, David Brett-Major, Sara Y Del Valle

PLoS Med· November 2023

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Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty.
Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G Reich

Nat Commun· November 2023

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REAL-TIME MECHANISTIC BAYESIAN FORECASTS OF COVID-19 MORTALITY.
Graham C Gibson, Nicholas G Reich, Daniel Sheldon

Ann Appl Stat· September 2023

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Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. .
Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G Reich

medRxiv· July 2023

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Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations.
Katharine Sherratt, Hugo Gruson, Rok Grah, Helen Johnson, Rene Niehus, Nicholas G Reich

Elife· April 2023

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Assessing the utility of COVID-19 case reports as a leading indicator for hospitalization forecasting in the United States.
Nicholas G Reich, Yijin Wang, Meagan Burns, Rosa Ergas, Estee Y Cramer

medRxiv· March 2023

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Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study.
Rebecca K Borchering, Luke C Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P Smith, Nicholas G Reich

Lancet Reg Health Am· January 2023

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Real-time COVID-19 forecasting: challenges and opportunities of model performance and translation.
Kristen Nixon, Sonia Jindal, Felix Parker, Maximilian Marshall, Nicholas G Reich

Lancet Digit Health· October 2022

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An evaluation of prospective COVID-19 modelling studies in the USA: from data to science translation.
Kristen Nixon, Sonia Jindal, Felix Parker, Nicholas G Reich, Kimia Ghobadi

Lancet Digit Health· October 2022

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Correction: Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.
Johannes Bracher, Evan L Ray, Tilmann Gneiting, Nicholas G Reich

PLoS Comput Biol· October 2022

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Correction: Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand.
Nicholas G Reich, Stephen A Lauer, Krzysztof Sakrejda, Sopon Iamsirithaworn, Soawapak Hinjoy

PLoS Negl Trop Dis· October 2022

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An expert judgment model to predict early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.
Thomas McAndrew, Nicholas G Reich

PLoS Comput Biol· September 2022

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The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Estee Y Cramer, Yuxin Huang, Yijin Wang, Evan L Ray, Matthew Cornell, Nicholas G Reich

Sci Data· August 2022

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Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States.
Evan L Ray, Logan C Brooks, Jacob Bien, Matthew Biggerstaff, Nikos I Bosse, Nicholas G Reich

Int J Forecast· July 2022

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