A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% increase in interpersonal conflict rates and a 13.2% jump in group conflicts. https://t.co/QSZGcbASfm
Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict.
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Jan 2020 – Aug 2025Where it's discussed
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AI synopsis
What people are saying
The overall tone suggests strong agreement and high interest, exemplified by references to foundational studies like the 2013 Science paper, mentions of the research's policy implications, and detailed discussions about climate’s role in increasing conflict. The words and tone reflect respect and acknowledgment of the study’s significance, with some examples calling it a 'game changer' and emphasizing its importance for global security.
Most discussions emphasize the strong correlation between climate factors and human conflict, often citing the original publication as supporting evidence.
Participants demonstrate high curiosity, referencing multiple related studies, discussing implications, and valuing the research’s significance.
Many authors delve into methodological details, share personal impressions, and reference influential related papers, indicating deep involvement.
The discussions highlight the importance of this research for understanding future risks of violence and policy-making, suggesting it can influence public and academic discourse.
Abstract in brief
- This research reviews 60 rigorous studies from various fields to determine how climate change influences human conflict, finding strong evidence that climatic events are causally linked to increased violence and conflict worldwide.
- The findings suggest that even a 1 standard deviation move toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall can significantly raise the incidence of violence: interpersonal violence by 4% and intergroup conflict by 14%.
- Given that global temperatures are projected to rise by 2 to 4 degrees Celsius by 2050, these climate-related increases in conflict could have serious implications, making climate change a critical factor in future human security.
Top posts
Most liked on X and Bluesky@RNexus_6 @AbelinaLopezR @RAEinforma No veo por qué ridiculizar algo que es tema de debate científico. https://t.co/TYYZ2AzM7Q
Källa: Den obeboeliga planeten, David Wallace-Wells. Forskningen redovisas i tidskriften Science https://t.co/3fNm9yqTid
@Shadzey1 *Checks the studies* Yes, that is very true (Interesting read and implications if you have time) https://t.co/v223U2kq7F
4] Hay más conflictos... El calor empuja incluso a la guerra. En las regiones tropicales, los conflictos civiles aumentan un 40%-50% en las estaciones extremadamente calurosas. https://t.co/iF0l7HLuzx
Hsiang, S. M., Burke, M., & Miguel, E. (2013). Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict. Science, 341(6151), 1235367–1235367. doi:10.1126/science.1235367
All mentions
War's Environmental Impact: Long-Term Climate and Human Consequences
War in Europe has profound effects on the environment and climate. We explore how armed conflicts influence climate change and continue to threaten lives and ecosystems long after fighting ends, emphasizing the…
Impact of Climate Change on Human Conflict and Violence
This research reviews 60 studies to determine how climate change influences human conflict, finding strong evidence linking climatic events to increased violence and conflict worldwide. Even a 1 standard deviation rise…
https://t.co/kcW0r9aqM7 Each 1-SD change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall increases the frequency of interpersonal violence by 4% and intergroup conflict by 14% (median estimates).
@ducavendish Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict: https://t.co/4484XauYzP
気候と紛争の関係 面白そう https://t.co/VZWq1TZV14
✅Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict. Por: SOLOMON M. HSIANG , MARSHALL BURKE E EDWARD MIGUEL ✅Quantifying the impact of heat on human physical work capacity Por: Smallcombe J.W, Foster J., Hodder S.G, Jay O., Andreas D. Flouris, George.
✅Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict. Por: SOLOMON M. HSIANG , MARSHALL BURKE E EDWARD MIGUEL ✅Quantifying the impact of heat on human physical work capacity Por: Smallcombe J.W, Foster J., Hodder S.G, Jay O., Andreas D. Flouris, George.
https://t.co/hZLyAVr6w8 https://t.co/uBRe2KXnAH
4] Hay más conflictos... El calor empuja incluso a la guerra. En las regiones tropicales, los conflictos civiles aumentan un 40%-50% en las estaciones extremadamente calurosas. https://t.co/iF0l7HLuzx
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict Each 1-SD change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall increases the frequency of interpersonal violence by 4% and intergroup conflict by 14% (median estimates). https://t.co/ynnwxyYQiy
@EnriqueMM74 These findings are discussed in this other excelent article by Hsiang, Burke and Miguel https://t.co/pPd0J4vN1p https://t.co/GjvdulMY8m
RT @DrMalasPulgas: Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict | Science https://t.co/b4NC5T7wVx
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict | Science https://t.co/sfPFse4AkW
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict | Science https://t.co/b4NC5T7wVx
@Antonia_bio Gran artículo, gracias https://t.co/GMqYEo9VBD.
RT @cacouteau: @mattkahn1966 @dwallacewells Violence, murder, temperature, heat, rain, drought, flood, civil conflict etc and climate. Qua…
RT @cacouteau: @mattkahn1966 @dwallacewells Violence, murder, temperature, heat, rain, drought, flood, civil conflict etc and climate. Qua…
@mattkahn1966 @dwallacewells Violence, murder, temperature, heat, rain, drought, flood, civil conflict etc and climate. Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict https://t.co/2kXpIZR0zF
@pa_bitcoin @PallandtVon @AufstandLastGen @carla_hinrichs_ https://t.co/etsRTG7chT
@PKashwan Its just a special case of this paper: https://t.co/uJK7BgFWEf. or maybe this one https://t.co/FYeBGiSrYF
@Shadzey1 *Checks the studies* Yes, that is very true (Interesting read and implications if you have time) https://t.co/v223U2kq7F
‘For each one standard deviation (1σ) change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall, median estimates indicate that the frequency of interpersonal violence rises 4% and the frequency of intergroup conflict rises 14%’ https://t.co/RoteQdn8jb
@Ovesson Det är inte ett påstående det är forskning och den är högst korrekt utförd. https://t.co/0QZZjD6OKb https://t.co/I4x6jOfBof
@nordkost https://t.co/0QZZjCPdlB https://t.co/I4x6jOxcfN
Hsiang, S. M., Burke, M., & Miguel, E. (2013). Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict. Science, 341(6151), 1235367–1235367. doi:10.1126/science.1235367
@carsonamelia7 @laurenyoung231 @ElayneStecher @nancylindborg @PackardFdn @FEWSNET CEGA Faculty Co-Director @tedmiguel starts off discussing the 2022 IPCC report, which uses quantitative evidence from his 2013 paper with @solhsiang and @MarshallBBurke. They found strong evidence between climate change and increased violence. #E2A2022 https://t.co/sj89627dIo
RT @1o5Climate:
RT @Kpaxs: A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% in…
RT @Kpaxs: A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% in…
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict https://t.co/hNgxPgim4L
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict https://t.co/4r3oMi97f4
RT @Kpaxs: A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% in…
RT @Kpaxs: A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% in…
RT @Kpaxs: A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% in…
A 2013 paper in the journal Science found that even the most seemingly innocuous change in temperature correlated with a 2.3% increase in interpersonal conflict rates and a 13.2% jump in group conflicts. https://t.co/QSZGcbASfm
RT @Navegaciones: @RNexus_6 @AbelinaLopezR @RAEinforma No veo por qué ridiculizar algo que es tema de debate científico. https://t.co/TYYZ…
RT @Navegaciones: @RNexus_6 @AbelinaLopezR @RAEinforma No veo por qué ridiculizar algo que es tema de debate científico. https://t.co/TYYZ…
RT @Navegaciones: @RNexus_6 @AbelinaLopezR @RAEinforma No veo por qué ridiculizar algo que es tema de debate científico. https://t.co/TYYZ…
@RNexus_6 @AbelinaLopezR @RAEinforma No veo por qué ridiculizar algo que es tema de debate científico. https://t.co/TYYZ2AzM7Q
https://t.co/mTs9dR40cI
@jlshenk11 @afrobarometer Then a set of important papers by each of my advisors: @MarshallBBurke: https://t.co/tW8R0sCrgM, @KSchultz3580 (+ @jsmankin): https://t.co/gOH52605sS (already mentioned by @abby_fanlo), and @katharine_mach: https://t.co/i9qE9edrGn
RT @olaspannar: Källa: Den obeboeliga planeten, David Wallace-Wells. Forskningen redovisas i tidskriften Science https://t.co/3fNm9yqTid
Källa: Den obeboeliga planeten, David Wallace-Wells. Forskningen redovisas i tidskriften Science https://t.co/3fNm9yqTid
Quantifying the influence of climate on human conflict - PubMed https://t.co/2XsT0nnMHx
大きい&長いスケールでは研究されているテーマですね。 有名どころで言えばこれとか https://t.co/AyzahQeade 個々のレベルで見てもそうなのだ、というか、こういう個々人のイライラの蓄積が大元の原因なのだろうと想像しちゃうけど、スケール間の関係は調べられているのだろうか? https://t.co/LsGFNSOsr7
@RebekahSadov @annakdim I suppose you know the article already, but an insightful read on this topic is the meta-analysis by Hsiang, Auffhammer, and Burke “Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict” published in Science in 2013.
RT @1o5Climate:
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
RT @KHayhoe: Lest you think this sounds too incredible to be true, this is NOT the first or only study connecting increases in both interpe…
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