PubHawk
March 2014 PMID 24478294

Correlations in fertility across generations: can low fertility persist?

Martin Kolk, Daniel Cownden, Magnus Enquist

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Mentions

47
Peak: 7 in May 2021
across 6 sources since Jan 2019

Extended reach

280,423
potential audience

Total likes

5,150

Video views

146,049

Mentions per month

Jan 2019 – Nov 2024

Where it's discussed

  • X / Twitter37 posts
  • News3 articles
  • YouTube2 videos
  • Facebook2 posts
  • Blogs2 articles
  • Bluesky1 posts

AI synopsis

What people are saying

Overall, the discussions reflect a strong interest in the topic, with references to various models and projections like the work of Martin Kolk and Anatoly Karlin, using words like 'skeptical,' 'interesting,' and 'impact,' which indicate thoughtful engagement and the perception that this research has substantial influence on understanding demographic changes.

AgreementModerate agreement

Most discussions support the idea that intergenerational fertility correlations significantly influence current and future fertility patterns, with some skeptics questioning specific models.

InterestHigh interest

Users are highly engaged with the topic, referencing multiple models, studies, and theories about fertility and population dynamics.

EngagementModerate engagement

Many comments delve into detailed modeling and interpretations, showing a genuine effort to understand and discuss the research implications.

ImpactHigh impact

The social discussions suggest that this research influences opinions on demographic trends, policies, and future population projections, highlighting its broad relevance.

Abstract in brief

  • Intergenerational fertility correlations, where parents' and children's family sizes are linked, can significantly impact future human population growth, especially as these correlations have been increasing over time.
  • The study presents models showing that if fertility behaviors are influenced by cultural lifestyles, and these lifestyles are passed across generations, fertility rates are likely to rise over time, complicating efforts to lower fertility.
  • Despite the potential for increasing fertility due to these correlations, current low fertility levels may continue if new cultural lifestyles promoting smaller families continue to spread rapidly into the future.
Read the full abstract

Top posts

Most liked on X and Bluesky
Yudai Tokumasu
@hakusan09 · X

「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1xWz9p3L

Jan 28, 2020 · 25 likes · 14 shares · 698 followers View post →
Spatel
@Rjrasva · X

Correlations in fertility across generations: can low fertility persist? Martin Kolk, Daniel Cownden and Magnus Enquist 22 March 2014 Intergenerational fertility correlations can be found consistently in developed countries and are increasing over time https://t.co/T1jDNj0UE4 https://t.co/52Xv86HBae

Jan 28, 2022 · 10 likes · 1 share · 10,434 followers View post →
Benoit Mandelbrot
@BigMandelbrot · X

@BirthGauge Interesting paper that tries to also incorporate cultural change (new introduction of low-fertility lifestyles) over time. I go with scenario 3. https://t.co/OiOVFO2s4n https://t.co/bJNDApWq66

Jul 15, 2022 · 7 likes · 2 shares · 724 followers View post →
Martin Kolk
@MartinKolk · X

@StefanFSchubert @robinhanson @MoreBirths @BirthGauge @RuxandraTeslo @lymanstoneky I did something similar here: https://t.co/M5u3WfWdpQ But used a model that was agnostic to if the inheritance was cultural or genetic. Basically you need new low fertility cultures to emerge to maintain low fertility (which is what has happened the last 200 years).

Mar 10, 2024 · 3 likes · 2,108 followers View post →
Benoit Mandelbrot
@BigMandelbrot · X

@Jotto999 @whyvert Anatoly Karlin has a 4 part series on this. In part 2 he discusses a few studies with projections. https://t.co/RwUJK3T5ud https://t.co/OiOVFOk3sX

Dec 14, 2021 · 2 likes · 724 followers View post →
FjellSean
@FjellSean · X

Before I die in the famine I want you all to know I love you & appreciate you. Internet racists are the best friends a man can have. https://t.co/gKs87DH7j8

May 22, 2021 · 2 likes · 277 followers View post →

All mentions

zimwalk.bsky.social
@zimwalk.bsky.social · Bluesky

youtu.be/B7aDjdOiPE8?...

Nov 26, 2024 View post →
LowIQPigeon
@LowIQPigeon7 · X

@hollowearthterf wrong again woman https://t.co/yDKiactBVk

Nov 12, 2024 · 228 followers View post →
Martin Kolk
@MartinKolk · X

@davidbessis @StefanFSchubert @DanielBarkeley @BirthGauge @lymanstoneky @tomcolls You can check this on modelling fertility decline. https://t.co/M5u3WfWLfo

Jul 18, 2024 · 1 like · 2,108 followers View post →
Martin Kolk
@MartinKolk · X

@StefanFSchubert @robinhanson @MoreBirths @BirthGauge @RuxandraTeslo @lymanstoneky I did something similar here: https://t.co/M5u3WfWdpQ But used a model that was agnostic to if the inheritance was cultural or genetic. Basically you need new low fertility cultures to emerge to maintain low fertility (which is what has happened the last 200 years).

Mar 10, 2024 · 3 likes · 2,108 followers View post →
Victor ✌️
@V1ct0r_024 · X

@hroch32 @GuyMontag1957 Řešil to borec tady. Genetické traity podporující porodnost v současném silně sekularizovaném, kulturně "neplodném" prostředí nejsou úplně ty, které by člověk automaticky vyzdvihoval, nicméně vytvořili jsme selekční tlak, který jim svědčí

Nov 4, 2023 · 1 like · 3,405 followers View post →
Supernaut
@sup3rn0ught · X

@JontentG Prepare accordingly Jon: https://t.co/FspDVgM8DQ

Aug 6, 2023 · 19 followers View post →
Morrisan15
@morris_que14 · X

The short answer is yes, it will. But it will still take a few more decades for it to show up. Until then immigration must be stopped so our future generations will have breathing space to grow. https://t.co/RZedqXESfc

Jul 26, 2023 · 4,572 followers View post →
Fernando Rosales
@fernandolem · X

Will Natural Selection Raise European Birth Rates? https://t.co/4EhDof5Jey a través de @YouTube

Jul 26, 2023 · 543 followers View post →
TIGGS BENOIT
@TiggsBenoit · X

Why We're On the Brink of an Overpopulation Crisis, Famine and an Unprec... https://t.co/o81ntXIWIX via @YouTube

May 4, 2023 · 323 followers View post →
Richard Mawr
@MawrRichard · X

@veritymitchell @Nigel_Farage @j25994646 Professor Ed Dutton explains why there will be a population collapse. If you're unfamiliar with him, ignore his introductory prank if you find it off putting. https://t.co/BkEtsf613i

Jan 21, 2023 · 271 followers View post →
Oscarcmayer
@yermaccasor · X

@ElRoman79996413 @erlik Bueno, Pentti Linkola era de derechas y venía a decir lo mismo. También tienes a Ed Dutton (el gag del principio es una broma que hace siempre, no es que sea un vídeo coña) https://t.co/Bvw7wTFJAz

Jul 21, 2022 · 443 followers View post →
Kessaikssa?
@kessaikssa · X

RT @Benoit03157452: @BirthGauge Interesting paper that tries to also incorporate cultural change (new introduction of low-fertility lifesty…

Jul 18, 2022 · 2 shares · 248 followers View post →
Olly Bosque
@BasqueOli · X

RT @Benoit03157452: @BirthGauge Interesting paper that tries to also incorporate cultural change (new introduction of low-fertility lifesty…

Jul 17, 2022 · 2 shares · 3,912 followers View post →
Benoit Mandelbrot
@BigMandelbrot · X

@BirthGauge Interesting paper that tries to also incorporate cultural change (new introduction of low-fertility lifestyles) over time. I go with scenario 3. https://t.co/OiOVFO2s4n https://t.co/bJNDApWq66

Jul 15, 2022 · 7 likes · 2 shares · 724 followers View post →
manwithabigstick
@bahutbadadanda · X

RT @Rjrasva: Correlations in fertility across generations: can low fertility persist? Martin Kolk, Daniel Cownden and Magnus Enquist 22 Mar…

Jan 28, 2022 · 1 share · 1,822 followers View post →
Spatel
@Rjrasva · X

Correlations in fertility across generations: can low fertility persist? Martin Kolk, Daniel Cownden and Magnus Enquist 22 March 2014 Intergenerational fertility correlations can be found consistently in developed countries and are increasing over time https://t.co/T1jDNj0UE4 https://t.co/52Xv86HBae

Jan 28, 2022 · 10 likes · 1 share · 10,434 followers View post →
Benoit Mandelbrot
@BigMandelbrot · X

Karlin explains his thoughts in more detail here: https://t.co/RwUJK3T5ud Background is this paper with 3 scenarios: https://t.co/OiOVFOk3sX He is skeptical of scenario 3. Let's see what that scenario implies. https://t.co/IU7YKcVsLN https://t.co/CYv734nly0

Jan 19, 2022 · 1 like · 724 followers View post →
Benoit Mandelbrot
@BigMandelbrot · X

@Jotto999 @whyvert Anatoly Karlin has a 4 part series on this. In part 2 he discusses a few studies with projections. https://t.co/RwUJK3T5ud https://t.co/OiOVFOk3sX

Dec 14, 2021 · 2 likes · 724 followers View post →
John Derbyshire
@DissidentRight · X

@akarlin88 https://t.co/EtsYYH0Min

Jun 19, 2021 · 1 like · 16,757 followers View post →
Oscarcmayer
@yermaccasor · X

@Camaron1492 debido a eso... una vez superado el pico pues ya será más fácil, pero va a estar ahí. Luego ya tienes a catastrofistas como este hombre https://t.co/QN8Tn7EYsR

Jun 17, 2021 · 443 followers View post →
Oscarcmayer
@yermaccasor · X

@TorvusB @SolBrah You are on @jollyheretic wavelength I see https://t.co/rEUeRNadOc

May 25, 2021 · 443 followers View post →
monster
@KateDaGreat1111 · X

@KingofShirgar Re: https://t.co/g3rxLF5vxL

May 22, 2021 · 5,232 followers View post →
FjellSean
@FjellSean · X

Before I die in the famine I want you all to know I love you & appreciate you. Internet racists are the best friends a man can have. https://t.co/gKs87DH7j8

May 22, 2021 · 2 likes · 277 followers View post →
monster
@KateDaGreat1111 · X

Prepare accordingly Why We're On the Brink of an Overpopulation Crisis, Famine and an Unprec... https://t.co/DEEeag7195 via @YouTube

May 21, 2021 · 5,232 followers View post →
Drew's D Notices
@d_notices · X

Why We're On the Brink of an Overpopulation Crisis, Famine and an Unprecedented Population Collapse https://t.co/lTsWacpvBO #TheJollyHeretic

May 21, 2021 · 3,123 followers View post →
Sue Leo
@Paldron · X

Why We're On the Brink of an Overpopulation Crisis, Famine and an Unprec... https://t.co/BUdWBMO7ZD via @YouTube

May 21, 2021 · 6,088 followers View post →
中野 和子
@71c2a7c0a607436 · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Apr 25, 2021 · 14 shares · 174 followers View post →
リンP
@henriqueanime · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Sep 27, 2020 · 14 shares · 20 followers View post →
Kasshini@なんでも垢 RiCE
@Kasshini_Gnade · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

May 30, 2020 · 14 shares · 15,577 followers View post →
如月 宗一郎
@S_kisaragi · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

May 30, 2020 · 14 shares · 8,617 followers View post →
エボサイ（EvoPsy）
@selfcomestomine · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

May 30, 2020 · 14 shares · 30,711 followers View post →
天婦羅★三杯酢
@templa_3 · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Jan 29, 2020 · 14 shares · 1,451 followers View post →
稲葉 寿
@HisashiInaba · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Jan 29, 2020 · 14 shares · 569 followers View post →
ひゃすこ
@hyaskoy · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Jan 29, 2020 · 14 shares · 379 followers View post →
中澤 港％人類生態学者＠神戸大学
@MinatoNakazawa · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Jan 29, 2020 · 14 shares · 4,206 followers View post →
Masato ONOUE
@9w9w9w9 · X

RT @hakusan09: 「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1…

Jan 28, 2020 · 14 shares · 729 followers View post →
Yudai Tokumasu
@hakusan09 · X

「実は少子化状態を維持するほうが難易度高いかも」という文化進化の数理モデル研究。子どもの数を減らすような文化の革新が持続的に起こり続けないかぎり、いったん広がった、子どもを減らすような文化の維持は困難。2014年。 https://t.co/1B1xWz9p3L

Jan 28, 2020 · 25 likes · 14 shares · 698 followers View post →
Mícheál de Barra
@mdbarra · X

@RebeccaSear This 2014 paper by @MartinKolk et al also addresses long term stability of the demographic shift: https://t.co/jSnP7lwVF1

Jan 4, 2019 · 1 like · 717 followers View post →