No estamos teniendo en cuenta CUÁNTO está aportando el ser humano a esto. Respecto a la tasa NORMAL de extinciones, la hemos aumentado hasta 1.000 VECES y se estima un aumento de hasta 10.000 https://t.co/eZCFnBxjMR
Estimating the normal background rate of species extinction.
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Apr 2015 – Oct 2024Where it's discussed
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What people are saying
Throughout these social discussions, users frequently reference the magnitude of extinction rate increases, such as claims that current rates are 1,000 times higher than natural levels, and highlight the importance of research in understanding this crisis. The tone is urgent and evidence-focused, reflecting deep concern about biodiversity loss, which aligns with the high scores across all dimensions.
Most social discussions strongly support the notion that current extinction rates are significantly higher than natural background rates, with many referencing studies and consensus among scientists, which shows a high level of agreement with the publicat
Posts express intense curiosity and concern, using words like 'mass extinction,' 'urgent,' and 'crisis,' indicating high interest in understanding the impact of human activity on biodiversity.
Many discussions cite specific data, studies, and call for further research or action, demonstrating deep engagement with the scientific content and its implications.
The collective tone suggests an awareness that the publication emphasizes a pivotal issue—namely, the accelerated extinction crisis caused by human activity—with potential influence on public and scientific discourse.
Abstract in brief
- Estimating the natural (background) rate of species extinction is challenging because data is limited and methods vary, but research suggests it might be lower than traditionally assumed, around 0.01 to 0.02 extinctions per million species per year.
- Fossil records and molecular phylogenies provide different types of evidence, with fossil data offering broad but coarse estimates, and phylogenies offering more detailed but debated estimates of extinction and speciation rates.
- Overall, the study indicates there is no strong evidence for a significant decline in species diversity before human impact, and recent extinction rates are likely below or similar to natural background rates, meaning human activities have greatly elevated extinction rates above natural levels.]
Top posts
Most liked on X and Bluesky@KaiChanUBC And 10-100x the background rate is likely a conservative estimate of the pace of modern extinctions. 1000x is probably more accurate (https://t.co/dn3i8itZOZ). That's how much fast freshwater fishes are disappearing from N. America, for example. It is certainly unusually large.
@BjornLomborg So no problem with the increase in the extinction rate which is 1,000 higher than pre-human times and doubling every 10 years? https://t.co/AXhNXR9jcA
@YellowstoneDJ @endangered @HuffPostImpact Many peer-reviewed studies, and the consensus amongst scientists, show the current rate of extinction to be hunreds of time the regular background rate and that we are in fact in the midst of a 6th mass extinction. Here is a study that explains more. https://t.co/5e7FVcE3DF
@Sphe12_ Here a nice vid that explains it 5 min. https://t.co/xWNFHZn57Q
@Mat_Defender @EarthChild_Twan @TonyClimate In order to understand what human-caused extinction is doing to identified biodiversity we need to understand the rates of loss in the identified taxi, vs the rate of speciation in the same taxa. Papers such as this: https://t.co/j1tm87NRkU do that. (4/n)
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@Rotavator_X @ClemenxC_ @KevRenaud04 @Cobra_FX_ Pourquoi tu nous abreuve pas de données et d'études si ce que tu clames est la vérité. Parce qu'en attendant, dans la réalité, en Sciences, bah ça montre l'inverse
@Till50061735 Das ist leider eine gefühlte Wahrheit. Die Aussterberate ist momentan ca. 1000x höher als vor uns. https://t.co/znixonqvwK
@Roger0Anderson @MatthewWielicki The rate of extinction is 100-1,000 times that of the background rate sans human impact: https://t.co/R9tUdxdiLV In the future it will be even greater: https://t.co/j1tm87NRkU We’re already destroying the planet by “manipulat[ing] th[at] cycle…” (1/2)
@Sphe12_ Here a nice vid that explains it 5 min. https://t.co/xWNFHZn57Q
RT @raudzini: @BjornLomborg So no problem with the increase in the extinction rate which is 1,000 higher than pre-human times and doubling…
RT @raudzini: @BjornLomborg So no problem with the increase in the extinction rate which is 1,000 higher than pre-human times and doubling…
@BjornLomborg So no problem with the increase in the extinction rate which is 1,000 higher than pre-human times and doubling every 10 years? https://t.co/AXhNXR9jcA
@Mat_Defender @EarthChild_Twan @TonyClimate In order to understand what human-caused extinction is doing to identified biodiversity we need to understand the rates of loss in the identified taxi, vs the rate of speciation in the same taxa. Papers such as this: https://t.co/j1tm87NRkU do that. (4/n)
@elonmusk @ShellenbergerMD @ScottPelley @PaulREhrlich Omg we absolutely are living in a mass extinction with extinction rates 10-100x higher than background. Biodiversity loss is maybe as urgent as carbon emissions, and far more tragic. https://t.co/EPxffpYrnY https://t.co/pFlGYvNZY9 https://t.co/P7JqCKQ55t https://t.co/Z68KbGCJyC
Estimating the #normal background rate of species extinction https://t.co/QUscokAVFV
@upperholme "Current extinction rates are 1,000 times higher than natural background rates of extinction and future rates are likely to be 10,000 times higher." https://t.co/fjFMnKekCy
@KnifeNerd https://t.co/1lIGYQ2mvv
No estamos teniendo en cuenta CUÁNTO está aportando el ser humano a esto. Respecto a la tasa NORMAL de extinciones, la hemos aumentado hasta 1.000 VECES y se estima un aumento de hasta 10.000 https://t.co/eZCFnBxjMR
Estimating the normal background rate of species extinction https://t.co/la6nlMdzh4
อันนี้เป็น prediction ที่เค้าทำนายไว้ 3 ข้อ และก็มีคลิปที่เราได้เรียนเพิ่มเติมอธิบายไว้ดีมากๆ https://t.co/kGQgZR8JE0 https://t.co/8ytyckuSDs
RT @JMBonzom: Current extinction rates are 1,000 times higher than natural background rates of extinction and future rates are likely to be…
@tonybarnosky Up to 1 million species are currently threatened with #extinction largely as a result of human activity, e.g. pollution, deforestation, hunting, and climate change. Current rates of extinction are 1000x higher than we would expect! Source: https://t.co/mqvjCloiZ0 https://t.co/UvDqCTeauE
The 6 Craziest Extinctions Ever https://t.co/8JWTmJO0KC via @YouTube
Crazy Extinctions https://t.co/Ga50qAfaFM
RT @psdf: @wimbrooklyn @zjay2k6 @NathGAlexander @CalebJHull Here is an article that summarises the studies. -https://t.co/fygzjb5O98 The…
@wimbrooklyn @zjay2k6 @NathGAlexander @CalebJHull Here is an article that summarises the studies. -https://t.co/fygzjb5O98 The article itself is not peer reviewed, but the papers it cites are: -https://t.co/6R5Fgd189S -https://t.co/4kbhuVLvZS -https://t.co/Cj1SHgojox -https://t.co/XG6SbI1ht9 -https://t.co/KBK6hk0YFN
@Darth_Lehrer tja wir sind wohl die nächsten.... https://t.co/7nJ7DjzS2J
@jhw229 no one recorded the events because humanity didnt exist yet. fossils are a very solid indicator- they showed species that lived before us and ideas of how they died. please watch this 5 minute video! i'd happily supply you with more links if you want https://t.co/r2V4qKBw5u
@SamaParwani @fagcream yeah! https://t.co/5PFQR2ZqSG (5 mass extinctions & exctinction today) https://t.co/r2V4qKBw5u (3:00 to hear about the 6th incoming one) https://t.co/PFGx8vkltE (the sixth extinction: book summary) https://t.co/tMcV6FkwyO (signs we are in the 6th mass extinction)
@Megawarrior345 https://t.co/9kXDjkix42
The 6 Craziest Extinctions Ever https://t.co/niXgcPkrsk ผ่าน @YouTube https://t.co/btr6AAuovQ
@tracy__e @DarrinW74512672 @JuliePi31415926 @GillesnFio @DawnTJ90 @Niggledom @Tangomitteckel @SombreGreen @ClimateDan_ @PaulHughes11vic @hmailandt3 @Cosmic_Engineer @GWLarsson @carlblom_robert @nemo_gratis @SaferStone @manifesto2000 @lt_texan @Soronya @puntanenyahoo @Jeanjeannie20 @hoststhefartin1 @MurrayMack4 @kuhn_reinhard @SylviaD32911201 @Nc1908Neil @gjcats @Barbarajdurkin @javierchesimo @oldfosil66 @drwaheeduddin @YackyDoodleDnDy @KinkerMichards @eachus @2013Boodicca @heymikey80 @BarbaraMcK42 @JaggerMickOZ @dbirch214 @Lydienee @RogTallbloke @shookster1000 @JWSpry @Trismos @DenisCoghlan @Leigh252425 @nobadgers @CymaticWave @Chaologistician A great deal of research, such as this https://t.co/t9L7T19Flh
(2/14)
@Kenneth72712993 @EumIob @MassiMassian @JoePubl39828914 @TWTThisIsNow @FloMartinSec @fagandr1 @coristus @ThomasPaine5 @PhilosophySeel @NuckChorris16 @DawnTJ90 @Greg49039425 @SylviaD32911201 @DoubleDumas @Zigmund_Fraud @PlatinumRuler @carlsmythe @RSchusterJR @SteveSGoddard @IngersolRobert @bcollinsk @MLBinWA @MesiaArte @sighandy58_andy @paultikotin @Jeanjeannie20 @AltUS_ARC @chriscartw83 @ILuvCO2 @EdDarrell @Professing_Prof @Dcoronata @ClimateRealists @PACleanwater @PMgeezer @dan613 @Robin_Hagues @RoyPentland @ReubenWills1 @Boi_dBoi_d @bjames280961 @_kevinmartin @PolAnimalAus @mytk56 @gjbangar @gershuni @sueytonius @NJSnowFan @priscian Yes your claim is wrong. Here's an example of how these things are calculated. https://t.co/a44mslPX2J
@Pr0udAmerican @ideologicalized @WhatevinTrevin This is what somebody says who is too lazy to do the research themselves. And let's face it, the reason you don't want to go research this, is because you know the expert community agrees with that assessment. https://t.co/2TcJN42T6V
@KaiChanUBC And 10-100x the background rate is likely a conservative estimate of the pace of modern extinctions. 1000x is probably more accurate (https://t.co/dn3i8itZOZ). That's how much fast freshwater fishes are disappearing from N. America, for example. It is certainly unusually large.
@raulgaitan
@YellowstoneDJ @endangered @HuffPostImpact Many peer-reviewed studies, and the consensus amongst scientists, show the current rate of extinction to be hunreds of time the regular background rate and that we are in fact in the midst of a 6th mass extinction. Here is a study that explains more. https://t.co/5e7FVcE3DF
@dwallacewells "Current extinction rates are 1,000 times higher than natural background rates of extinction and future rates are likely to be 10,000 times higher." https://t.co/yFtdyYveWa
@Hiddemhigh @olivierhonnay IK geloof er niets van "current extinction rates are 1,000 times higher than natural background rates of extinction and future rates are likely to be 10,000 times higher." https://t.co/7c32IKI6zv
Estimating the normal background rate of species extinction: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cobi.12380/abstract #365papers
Background extinction rates are 10x lower than previously thought so current rates are >1000 times higher than normal http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/cobi.12380/abstract
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