Med Sci Sports Exerc July 2019 PMID 30817713

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon.

Simon D Angus

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Mentions

65
Peak: 5 in Jun 2019
across 4 sources since Mar 2019

Extended reach

139,204
potential audience

Total likes

121

Video views

7,512

Mentions per month

Mar 2019 – Apr 2023

Where it's discussed

  • News48 articles
  • X / Twitter12 posts
  • Facebook3 posts
  • YouTube2 videos

AI synopsis

What people are saying

Discussions reflect strong curiosity and engagement around the predicted timeline for breaking the marathon barrier, evidenced by phrases such as 'exciting' and 'good debate,' which reveal enthusiasm and curiosity. The tone balances intrigue with critical questioning, emphasizing the research's significance without fully endorsing or dismissing it, highlighting a genuine interest in understanding the implications of the statistical predictions.

AgreementModerate agreement

Most discussions agree with the statistical predictions and find the research intriguing, as seen in phrases like 'exciting' and 'good debate.'

InterestHigh interest

The posts show high interest, with repeated mentions and curiosity about the prediction of the marathon breaking barrier in 2032.

EngagementModerate engagement

Participants engage by referencing the research and questioning aspects like athlete progress and scientific validity, indicating meaningful involvement.

ImpactModerate impact

While the discussions are lively, they mostly provoke thought rather than urging immediate action, signaling moderate perceived influence.

Abstract in brief

  • The text discusses the statistical prediction of when the marathon sub-2-hour barrier might be broken, estimating that there is a 10% likelihood this will happen around May 2032, using a nonlinear exponential model.
  • It compares male and female marathon performances, estimating that at a 10% likelihood, the male and female record limits are approximately 1 hour 58 minutes 5 seconds and 2 hours 5 minutes 31 seconds, respectively, highlighting a performance gap of about 86 minutes.
  • The study is unique in addressing all three key aspects—progression of world records, gender differences, and potential performance thresholds—within a single analytical framework, and suggests that a female sub-130-minute marathon could be a meaningful target.]

Top posts

Most liked on X and Bluesky
Ian Greenwood MSc, PGCE, BSc
@IanGreenwood17 · X

So one of my @UoB_SSPA students shared this with me 'A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon'; https://t.co/CsmJuzhmaU . Provides a good debate leading on from; https://t.co/ZgaLKPCak5 'Are athletes really getting faster, better, stronger?'

Mar 12, 2019 · 3 likes · 1 share · 153 followers View post →
Akor’ebirungi
@ErnestAkor · X

Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, predicts that with a 10% odd, the male 2h barrier will be broken in May 2032. He, however, says there is no reason why a runner should abide by these odds.

Jun 30, 2022 · 2 likes · 1 share · 11,194 followers View post →
Jamie Pugh
@pugh_jamie · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/qGEmgwfyeW

Jun 15, 2019 · 2 likes · 1 share · 1,863 followers View post →
Dr. Ron Strand
@drronstrand · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/ixVDuc471Z https://t.co/sUblZfSrOC

Jun 27, 2019 · 53,943 followers View post →
Mutana ❁
@bruno_akampa · X

RT @ErnestAkor: Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, pr…

Jun 30, 2022 · 1 share · 50,216 followers View post →
Bruce Williams
@Docorange1 · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon. At the benchmark odds level (1 in 10, or 10% likely), the expected sub-2 hour arrival time is found to be May, 2032 https://t.co/tPGug58vcY https://t.co/cT185HPVwn

Mar 1, 2019 · 4,436 followers View post →

All mentions

Mutana ❁
@bruno_akampa · X

RT @ErnestAkor: Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, pr…

Jun 30, 2022 · 1 share · 50,216 followers View post →
Akor’ebirungi
@ErnestAkor · X

Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, predicts that with a 10% odd, the male 2h barrier will be broken in May 2032. He, however, says there is no reason why a runner should abide by these odds.

Jun 30, 2022 · 2 likes · 1 share · 11,194 followers View post →
Adam Wagner
@adamwagner812 · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/rblYpxozeL

Nov 15, 2019 · 56 followers View post →
Dr. Ron Strand
@drronstrand · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/ixVDuc471Z https://t.co/sUblZfSrOC

Jun 27, 2019 · 53,943 followers View post →
Bruce Williams
@Docorange1 · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon. At the benchmark odds level (1 in 10, or 10% likely), the expected sub–2-h arrival time is found to be May 2032 https://t.co/fH2Vw3sUKt https://t.co/0Hl8b09LHn

Jun 18, 2019 · 4,436 followers View post →
Matthew Lancaster
@LancasterM · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon : Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise https://t.co/qizCXx70dQ

Jun 17, 2019 · 292 followers View post →
Scott Hislen
@S_Hislen · X

RT @pugh_jamie: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/qGEmgwfyeW

Jun 15, 2019 · 1 share · 1,087 followers View post →
Jamie Pugh
@pugh_jamie · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/qGEmgwfyeW

Jun 15, 2019 · 2 likes · 1 share · 1,863 followers View post →
School of SSPA | University of Bedfordshire
@uniofbeds_SSPA · X

RT @IanGreenwood17: So one of my @UoB_SSPA students shared this with me 'A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon'; https://t.co…

Mar 12, 2019 · 1 share · 1,388 followers View post →
Ian Greenwood MSc, PGCE, BSc
@IanGreenwood17 · X

So one of my @UoB_SSPA students shared this with me 'A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon'; https://t.co/CsmJuzhmaU . Provides a good debate leading on from; https://t.co/ZgaLKPCak5 'Are athletes really getting faster, better, stronger?'

Mar 12, 2019 · 3 likes · 1 share · 153 followers View post →
SuppVersity.com
@SuppVersity · X

Science or madness? "A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon" Introduction Breaking the sub-2 hour marathon in an official event has attracted growing... https://t.co/yp9mkd051o

Mar 12, 2019 · 2,617 followers View post →
Bruce Williams
@Docorange1 · X

A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon. At the benchmark odds level (1 in 10, or 10% likely), the expected sub-2 hour arrival time is found to be May, 2032 https://t.co/tPGug58vcY https://t.co/cT185HPVwn

Mar 1, 2019 · 4,436 followers View post →