So one of my @UoB_SSPA students shared this with me 'A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon'; https://t.co/CsmJuzhmaU . Provides a good debate leading on from; https://t.co/ZgaLKPCak5 'Are athletes really getting faster, better, stronger?'
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon.
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Mar 2019 – Apr 2023Where it's discussed
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News48 articles
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X / Twitter12 posts
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Facebook3 posts
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YouTube2 videos
AI synopsis
What people are saying
Discussions reflect strong curiosity and engagement around the predicted timeline for breaking the marathon barrier, evidenced by phrases such as 'exciting' and 'good debate,' which reveal enthusiasm and curiosity. The tone balances intrigue with critical questioning, emphasizing the research's significance without fully endorsing or dismissing it, highlighting a genuine interest in understanding the implications of the statistical predictions.
Most discussions agree with the statistical predictions and find the research intriguing, as seen in phrases like 'exciting' and 'good debate.'
The posts show high interest, with repeated mentions and curiosity about the prediction of the marathon breaking barrier in 2032.
Participants engage by referencing the research and questioning aspects like athlete progress and scientific validity, indicating meaningful involvement.
While the discussions are lively, they mostly provoke thought rather than urging immediate action, signaling moderate perceived influence.
Abstract in brief
- The text discusses the statistical prediction of when the marathon sub-2-hour barrier might be broken, estimating that there is a 10% likelihood this will happen around May 2032, using a nonlinear exponential model.
- It compares male and female marathon performances, estimating that at a 10% likelihood, the male and female record limits are approximately 1 hour 58 minutes 5 seconds and 2 hours 5 minutes 31 seconds, respectively, highlighting a performance gap of about 86 minutes.
- The study is unique in addressing all three key aspects—progression of world records, gender differences, and potential performance thresholds—within a single analytical framework, and suggests that a female sub-130-minute marathon could be a meaningful target.]
Top posts
Most liked on X and BlueskyJust read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, predicts that with a 10% odd, the male 2h barrier will be broken in May 2032. He, however, says there is no reason why a runner should abide by these odds.
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/qGEmgwfyeW
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/ixVDuc471Z https://t.co/sUblZfSrOC
RT @ErnestAkor: Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, pr…
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon. At the benchmark odds level (1 in 10, or 10% likely), the expected sub-2 hour arrival time is found to be May, 2032 https://t.co/tPGug58vcY https://t.co/cT185HPVwn
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RT @ErnestAkor: Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, pr…
Just read sth exciting. Simon D Angus, in his 2019 research paper: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-hour Marathon, predicts that with a 10% odd, the male 2h barrier will be broken in May 2032. He, however, says there is no reason why a runner should abide by these odds.
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/rblYpxozeL
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/ixVDuc471Z https://t.co/sUblZfSrOC
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon. At the benchmark odds level (1 in 10, or 10% likely), the expected sub–2-h arrival time is found to be May 2032 https://t.co/fH2Vw3sUKt https://t.co/0Hl8b09LHn
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon : Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise https://t.co/qizCXx70dQ
RT @pugh_jamie: A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/qGEmgwfyeW
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub–2-Hour Marathon https://t.co/qGEmgwfyeW
RT @IanGreenwood17: So one of my @UoB_SSPA students shared this with me 'A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon'; https://t.co…
So one of my @UoB_SSPA students shared this with me 'A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon'; https://t.co/CsmJuzhmaU . Provides a good debate leading on from; https://t.co/ZgaLKPCak5 'Are athletes really getting faster, better, stronger?'
Science or madness? "A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon" Introduction Breaking the sub-2 hour marathon in an official event has attracted growing... https://t.co/yp9mkd051o
A Statistical Timetable for the Sub-2-Hour Marathon. At the benchmark odds level (1 in 10, or 10% likely), the expected sub-2 hour arrival time is found to be May, 2032 https://t.co/tPGug58vcY https://t.co/cT185HPVwn