A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus.

Tian-Mu Chen, Jia Rui, Qiu-Peng Wang, Ze-Yu Zhao, Jing-An Cui, Ling Yin

February 2020

Synopsis of Social media discussions

Several discussions highlight crucial aspects of the research, such as the estimated transmission rates, with users commenting on the model's implications for pandemic management. Phrases like 'fascinating,' 'worse than Ebola,' and calls for responsible modeling indicate a blend of concern and urgency, reflecting the tone of severe interest in understanding the virus's impact.

A
Agreement
 Moderate agreement

The majority of discussions demonstrate a supportive perspective regarding the publication's findings and methodologies.

I
Interest
 High level of interest

Users express a high level of curiosity about the mathematical model and its implications for understanding transmission rates.

E
Engagement
 Moderate level of engagement

While some posts delve into specifics, many interactions remain surface-level without extensive analysis.

I
Impact
 High level of impact

Participants recognize the publication's significance in informing public health decisions related to the coronavirus.

Social Mentions

YouTube

7 Videos

Twitter

76 Posts

News

8 Articles

Reddit

2 Posts

Metrics

Video Views

17,034

Total Likes

824

Extended Reach

308,811

Social Features

93

Timeline: Posts about article

Top Social Media Posts

Posts referencing the article

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  • bioRxiv Published
    @biorxiv_pubd (Twitter)

    A mathematical model for simulating the transmission of Wuhan novel Coronavirus published as: https://t.co/0PF25ezLDw #Infectious_Diseases_of_Poverty #biorxiv
    view full post

    March 20, 2024

  • Pakepimene Godmercy
    @LEAVTH (Twitter)

    A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus https://t.co/9LkOiw5pEd please ur contact on help on this topic
    view full post

    May 5, 2021

  • Make the World Better
    @ThatExcept (Twitter)

    @ekelly721 @Scaramucci I’m a doctor. I am responding. He’s the head of the organization that is tasked with models for the pandemic. What do those models report? https://t.co/ipoIBsCvEW
    view full post

    April 16, 2021

  • Make the World Better
    @ThatExcept (Twitter)

    @ed_merlo @Scaramucci You’re talking about something you do not understand. He is paid to model pandemics. There’s an amount of statistical probability to when we can lift mandates. He should say what the models show. https://t.co/ipoIBsCvEW
    view full post

    April 16, 2021

  • Make the World Better
    @ThatExcept (Twitter)

    @jeansweet04 @Scaramucci I’m a physician. He is supposed to model this. He needs to report on the modeling. https://t.co/ipoIBsCvEW
    view full post

    April 16, 2021

  • Make the World Better
    @ThatExcept (Twitter)

    @ffurc @Scaramucci Read this. You model these things. If he can’t model it, he needs to be fired. https://t.co/ipoIBsCvEW
    view full post

    April 16, 2021

  • Make the World Better
    @ThatExcept (Twitter)

    @legere_samantha @Scaramucci Read this. https://t.co/ipoIBsCvEW
    view full post

    April 16, 2021

  • Hans Sars
    @HansSars (Twitter)

    Sars 2 Formula https://t.co/cwLh9IgaS5
    view full post

    November 26, 2020

  • Hans Sars
    @HansSars (Twitter)

    Sars 2 Information https://t.co/cwLh9IgaS5
    view full post

    June 14, 2020

  • Claire Menlove
    @clairemenlove (Twitter)

    @thesundaytimes This put the infection rate at 5.2. Worse than Ebola. https://t.co/y5HiY1Ez4L
    view full post

    April 19, 2020

  • SwetLada777
    @SwetLada777 (Twitter)

    О короновирусе доступно и всерьез https://t.co/H6Fh1cSfEV #video #video1
    view full post

    April 17, 2020

  • Igor Zinin
    @viperpunk3 (Twitter)

    Прогноз распространения коронавируса в России. Петр Землянуха. https://t.co/ebRGx0Do4z с помощью @YouTube
    view full post

    April 16, 2020

  • Алексей Обухов ☭
    @guwe_rnator (Twitter)

    https://t.co/WC7M4uCmyJ https://t.co/F1d5bCeXW6
    view full post

    April 12, 2020

  • Claire Menlove
    @clairemenlove (Twitter)

    @ProfKarolSikora https://t.co/y5HiY1Ez4L R3.58?
    view full post

    April 4, 2020

  • Weight Minds
    @parakatu10 (Twitter)

    A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus https://t.co/3KzB3Q1kER #mathematics
    view full post

    April 1, 2020

    1

  • PF Anderson @pfanderson@disabled.social
    @pfanderson (Twitter)

    @ZeevNeuwirth Infect Dis Poverty. 2020 Feb 28;9(1):24. A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus. https://t.co/QMr5lqorHW #hcldr
    view full post

    March 31, 2020

  • PF Anderson @pfanderson@disabled.social
    @pfanderson (Twitter)

    @ZeevNeuwirth A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus Tian-Mu Chen, Jia Rui, Qiu-Peng Wang, Ze-Yu Zhao, Jing-An Cui & Ling Yin Infectious Diseases of Poverty volume 9, Article number: 24 (2020) https://t.co/IMgBSAgqk7 #hcldr
    view full post

    March 31, 2020

  • Hector Jean
    @HectorJeean (Twitter)

    https://t.co/xcUO9m4TK7
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    March 28, 2020

  • Ferdinando, sin luz, sin doncella
    @ferdinandCR (Twitter)

    @Tonkarazmilic @fefitaarroyo @FTeranMD @jreyesnu @jmanalich @rafaaraos @ximenaguilera @CNNChile @ElMercurio_cl Tu dices algo asi? https://t.co/IFyFYFgnpY
    view full post

    March 27, 2020

  • Ian McGhee
    @mcgheeianmcghee (Twitter)

    @jamesmfahy @JuliaHB1 @mitsyarty Here try the science if you're really a banker! https://t.co/jnFcp3UHLb
    view full post

    March 27, 2020

  • Tu Cónsul
    @MambruFelo (Twitter)

    Interesante. https://t.co/YTfXLe2Amj
    view full post

    March 26, 2020

    1

  • ExePérezMillán
    @ExequielPM (Twitter)

    #QuedateEnCasa, hay al menos 750 argentinos transmitiendo el #COVIDー19 sin saberlo. Calculo estimado por modelo: https://t.co/KJ9m80Iux0 State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University https://t.co/jwgNOgfgE4
    view full post

    March 22, 2020

  • Carlos Osorio
    @Carlos_Osorio (Twitter)

    @elaval @PolarBearby @FranciscoLodi @Fabin90712473 @YMedinaZ @jmanalich @gabrielboric Y aquí van dos papers con modelos: - https://t.co/8QcC6kjnfO - https://t.co/LYP6oSb8vU
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    March 21, 2020

    3

  • Polina Alexandrovna.
    @r_fiodorovna (Twitter)

    @BrunoX https://t.co/7Pp7EjwV4j
    view full post

    March 20, 2020

  • Toprak
    @ehli_vatan_ (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
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    March 18, 2020

    26

  • ceylan göbelez
    @gbelez (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • M.
    @MinyonMasara (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • alperenyolu
    @harmanci_1071 (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • HACI MEHMET EKİCİ
    @CHIEFOFWOLVES (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Vasfi
    @vasfettin_tunc (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Justice_Adalet
    @justice__adalet (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • ali poyraz
    @alipoyraz52 (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Hüseyin Oksay
    @OksayOksay (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Ragnar; 11.köy's sheriff
    @rigal26 (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Op.Dr. Fatih Gündoğdu ⭐️⭐️⭐️
    @RQ7_fatih (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Comrade Yuri 
    @55GDude (Twitter)

    RT @DiweenHawezy: How those coronavirus models are made https://t.co/iuJxI7CTKO https://t.co/3sZv3ec0pl
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    1

  • Sergüzeşt
    @hakikatgercekte (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • mesut köseoğlu
    @mesudkose (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Dr. Fzt. Gorkem Dizdar
    @gorkemdizdar (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Mustafa Asmaz
    @MustafaAsmaz (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • yldrm aynr
    @evhamyapma (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • sadecefizikBİLSEM
    @Fizikciler (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Zeliha Karadal
    @ZelihaKaradal (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Cenk ATLIG
    @Cenk_ATLIG (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Davor
    @vforvugrinec (Twitter)

    RT @bartusimsek_: SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait…
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    26

  • Bartu
    @bartuschimschek (Twitter)

    SÖZÜN ÖZÜ MECBUR KALMADIKÇA İNSANLARLA YAKINDAN TEMAS ETMEYİNİZ! Şema detayları: S (Susceptible/Hastalığı kapmaya müsait), E (Exposed/Maruz kalmış), I (Infected/ Enfekte olmuş), R (Removed/Hastalıktan kurtulmuş) (Kaynak: doi: 10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3 / 28 Şub 2020)
    view full post

    March 18, 2020

    111

    26

  • Dr. Diween Hawezy
    @DiweenHawezy (Twitter)

    How those coronavirus models are made https://t.co/iuJxI7CTKO https://t.co/3sZv3ec0pl
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    7

    1

  • Keshab R Bhattarai
    @KeshabRBhattar1 (Twitter)

    https://t.co/sFV9rePqzW
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

  • Geofrey Amanya
    @jeffamanya (Twitter)

    Moddeling for #SARSCoV19 Borrowing these methods for next covid-19 paper https://t.co/Alv9WzmrcJ
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

  • RedTie13
    @wo17_world (Twitter)

    RT @COVID_Evidence: BMC: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus: Data source The repor…
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    5

  • Malcolm Ellis
    @43a6f0ce5dac4ea (Twitter)

    RT @COVID_Evidence: BMC: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus: Data source The repor…
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    5

  • Emmy van Deurzen☀️
    @emmyzen (Twitter)

    RT @COVID_Evidence: BMC: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus: Data source The repor…
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    5

  • Giddey Gal
    @giddeygirl (Twitter)

    RT @COVID_Evidence: BMC: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus: Data source The repor…
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    5

  • DMC
    @DMcC995 (Twitter)

    RT @COVID_Evidence: BMC: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus: Data source The repor…
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    5

  • @COVID_Evidence
    @COVID_Evidence (Twitter)

    BMC: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus: Data source The reported cases of SARS-CoV-2, which have been named as COVID-19, were collected for the modelling study from a… https://t.co/CgDy6jpSeW #coronavirus #SARS_CoV_2…
    view full post

    March 17, 2020

    2

    5

  • UrfaGundem
    @urfagundem (Twitter)

    A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel #coronavirus... https://t.co/JhKTYeBuyW
    view full post

    March 16, 2020

  • Dylan Bethune-Waddell
    @dylan_htbw (Twitter)

    @ToddMostak @OmniSci Was just looking for a dashboard like this yesterday!
    view full post

    March 15, 2020

    3

  • mimzal
    @mimzal (Twitter)

    RT @tayfeh_fa: مطابق شبیه‌سازی‌های این مقاله کلیدی در نیچر ، نرخ انتقال ویروس از مردم به مردم ۳.۵۸ است، بسیار بیشتر از نرخ انتقال از جمعیت…
    view full post

    March 9, 2020

    5

  • Andrezito
    @iwearagasmask (Twitter)

    A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus https://t.co/ZXUMqALXUP
    view full post

    March 9, 2020

  • ปังกร
    @gggorn (Twitter)

    https://t.co/cN1n5MLBmh
    view full post

    March 9, 2020

  • میلاد+
    @miladplus (Twitter)

    RT @tayfeh_fa: مطابق شبیه‌سازی‌های این مقاله کلیدی در نیچر ، نرخ انتقال ویروس از مردم به مردم ۳.۵۸ است، بسیار بیشتر از نرخ انتقال از جمعیت…
    view full post

    March 9, 2020

    5

  • میرزا بن یوسف الجیلانی
    @SEKoohzad (Twitter)

    RT @tayfeh_fa: مطابق شبیه‌سازی‌های این مقاله کلیدی در نیچر ، نرخ انتقال ویروس از مردم به مردم ۳.۵۸ است، بسیار بیشتر از نرخ انتقال از جمعیت…
    view full post

    March 9, 2020

    5

  • mohammad solymani
    @msolymani13 (Twitter)

    RT @tayfeh_fa: مطابق شبیه‌سازی‌های این مقاله کلیدی در نیچر ، نرخ انتقال ویروس از مردم به مردم ۳.۵۸ است، بسیار بیشتر از نرخ انتقال از جمعیت…
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

    5

  • M. Tayfeh
    @tayfeh_fa (Twitter)

    مطابق شبیه‌سازی‌های این مقاله کلیدی در نیچر ، نرخ انتقال ویروس از مردم به مردم ۳.۵۸ است، بسیار بیشتر از نرخ انتقال از جمعیت اولیه (بازار ووهان) به مردم که ۲.۳ بوده‌است. قرنطینه عمومی بی‌تردید تنها راه کنترل شیوع #کرونا است. ۳.۵۸ یعنی شیوعی مهیب... https://t.co/DpvBq4Vctj
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

    33

    5

  • Marie Broderick
    @mariebrod (Twitter)

    RT @paddycosgrave: I hope this provides some perspective on why I've been outspoken on Twitter For more on NGM & eigenvalues https://t.co…
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

    2

  • Pierre Menard
    @euromenard (Twitter)

    @josejolivas @GabrielJaraba Hay planes de contingencia para aglomeraciones y aeropuertos No existe evidencia de que en *esta fase* sean especialmente útiles. Aquí lo explica con todo detalle : https://t.co/drfkFzHRhA
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

  • Angie B
    @angiebeeb (Twitter)

    RT @paddycosgrave: I hope this provides some perspective on why I've been outspoken on Twitter For more on NGM & eigenvalues https://t.co…
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

    2

  • Martin Brown
    @mbrowndcu (Twitter)

    A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel corona virus.Fascinating. https://t.co/c6fMDxOsBq
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

  • Paddy Cosgrave
    @paddycosgrave (Twitter)

    I hope this provides some perspective on why I've been outspoken on Twitter For more on NGM & eigenvalues https://t.co/hLsyuU9Ans Below also are more recent papers estimating R0 for #COVID19 using NGM https://t.co/WUGXhwFxJh https://t.co/oyqoS85ty8
    view full post

    March 8, 2020

    12

    2

  • #SaferSchools
    @profjaffar (Twitter)

    Here is a math modelling of #coronovirus transmissibility based on BHRP model: https://t.co/KSUO50usDi
    view full post

    March 6, 2020

  • Arne Elofsson @arneelof.bsky.social
    @arneelof (Twitter)

    https://t.co/ftlTUB1POb
    view full post

    March 6, 2020

  • the paper link
    @the_paper_link (Twitter)

    Trend new: *Chen TM* et al (Infect Dis Poverty) __A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus__ https://t.co/z4oAtljcQu
    view full post

    March 2, 2020

  • the paper link
    @the_paper_link (Twitter)

    Trend up+32: *Chen TM* et al (Infect Dis Poverty) __A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus__ https://t.co/z4oAtljcQu
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    March 1, 2020

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    Trend new: *Chen TM* et al (Infect Dis Poverty) __A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus__ https://t.co/z4oAtljcQu
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    A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus. https://t.co/QcJHnGzvkb
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    New article: A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus. https://t.co/mxyDtGnb3L #coronavirus #COVID19 #2019ncov
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    March 1, 2020

Abstract Synopsis

  • A new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, identified in early January 2020, is responsible for Wuhan pneumonia and presents significant transmissibility concerns.
  • Researchers developed a mathematical model focusing on the transmission network from bats to humans, then streamlined it to analyze transmission from a reservoir (such as a seafood market) to people.
  • The study estimated that the basic reproduction number (R) is 2.30 from reservoir to people and 3.58 from person to person, indicating a significant potential for secondary infections, comparable in transmissibility to some other coronaviruses.