In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the situation would have been disastrous. https://t.co/57pFmCeyJf https://t.co/40PdmPrqnz
Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19.
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Sep 2021 – Sep 2025Where it's discussed
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AI synopsis
What people are saying
Numerous posts highlight critical takeaways from the research, such as the inevitable hospital overwhelm and increased mortality rates associated with ineffective shielding strategies. Phrases like 'could have been disastrous' and 'critical flaws' showcase a serious tone in discussing the proposed methods, indicating a deep concern about public health and the effectiveness of alternative strategies.
The majority of discussions indicate a general alignment with the findings presented in the publication regarding shielding strategies.
There's high curiosity surrounding the implications of the findings, with users referencing the necessity of examining these strategies closely.
While some posts engage with criticisms of prior approaches, many reflect a moderate depth of analysis rather than a comprehensive discussion.
Users believe the publication's insights are crucial for future pandemic planning, suggesting a strong perception of its relevance.
Abstract in brief
- The COVID-19 pandemic prompted various nonpharmaceutical interventions globally, but methods like lockdowns led to significant economic and social hardships.
- An alternative strategy discussed was to shield high-risk individuals while letting lower-risk groups contract the virus to achieve herd immunity.
- Research using a stochastic SEIR model indicates that even with perfect shielding, hospitals would become overwhelmed, resulting in many avoidable deaths, and any reduction in shielding effectiveness would greatly worsen outcomes, proving shielding alone is not a viable public health strategy for COVID-19 or future pandemics.
Top posts
Most liked on X and BlueskySe non bastasse qui un paper (nn mio) che formalizza i calcoli fatti nel mio 3d 2 anni dopo. https://t.co/JFM9IeJc6V Veramente ...basta...siete matematicamente implausibili. Provate a reinventare la ruota. Fallendo. 2/2 @ThManfredi @Di_SPACE_Lauro @AndreaRoventini
You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thread below. https://t.co/NlnFlhVPAm^tfw
Oh, that’s because we modelled it. That’s what you do when you want to test hypotheses without exposing the public to the disastrous consequences of a policy. Surprising, given one of the GBD’s main signatories was a modeller, that they didn’t do the same. https://t.co/57pFmCeyJf https://t.co/O24wl9CG0v
"Shielding the vulnerable while allowing infections to spread among the wider population would not have been a viable public health strategy for #COVID19" ➡️ineffective for future pandemic! Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/iYNljqC4mR
Overwhelmed hospitals. 150-300% more death. And, of course, untold additional numbers of LongCovid. Article https://t.co/hRmE1HBDJz Study https://t.co/EZEGNdrzL4 https://t.co/qUYWYvQUsw
All mentions
Weaknesses in COVID-19 Shielding Strategies Explored
The COVID-19 pandemic led to various nonpharmaceutical interventions, revealing significant economic and social hardships. This analysis discusses the inefficacy of shielding high-risk individuals without addressing…
Overwhelmed hospitals. 150-300% more death. And, of course, untold additional numbers of LongCovid. Article https://t.co/hRmE1HBDJz Study https://t.co/EZEGNdrzL4 https://t.co/qUYWYvQUsw
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
@LazarusLong13 @mbeisen @DrJBhattacharya There were studies and analyses. https://t.co/quFrv1K4rb https://t.co/3b6SyqMaf8 https://t.co/XWX9iIyp9D https://t.co/Mw7anRJZaH https://t.co/owyvamozJ1 https://t.co/9fXuoudzIH https://t.co/OZJz3xRF5M https://t.co/SVfDvGLEqq https://t.co/vuVSIpvl0F
@ehlJAMA @19joho @gbdeclaration At some point, GBD defenders need to honestly deal with criticism of what they said, instead of constantly evading criticism by tone trolling + other such tactics. https://t.co/SVfDvGMcfY https://t.co/DQ4wxBL1D6 https://t.co/OZJz3xScVk https://t.co/xdw4D8DGcb https://t.co/j0lxGTWIg7
RT @gianlucac1bis: Se non bastasse qui un paper (nn mio) che formalizza i calcoli fatti nel mio 3d 2 anni dopo. https://t.co/JFM9IeJc6V Ve…
RT @gianlucac1bis: Se non bastasse qui un paper (nn mio) che formalizza i calcoli fatti nel mio 3d 2 anni dopo. https://t.co/JFM9IeJc6V Ve…
RT @gianlucac1bis: Se non bastasse qui un paper (nn mio) che formalizza i calcoli fatti nel mio 3d 2 anni dopo. https://t.co/JFM9IeJc6V Ve…
Se non bastasse qui un paper (nn mio) che formalizza i calcoli fatti nel mio 3d 2 anni dopo. https://t.co/JFM9IeJc6V Veramente ...basta...siete matematicamente implausibili. Provate a reinventare la ruota. Fallendo. 2/2 @ThManfredi @Di_SPACE_Lauro @AndreaRoventini
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Oh, that’s because we modelled it. That’s what you do when you want to test hypotheses without exposing the public to…
Oh, that’s because we modelled it. That’s what you do when you want to test hypotheses without exposing the public to the disastrous consequences of a policy. Surprising, given one of the GBD’s main signatories was a modeller, that they didn’t do the same. https://t.co/57pFmCeyJf https://t.co/O24wl9CG0v
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the…
In fact the complete opposite is true. If the proposals in the Great Barrington Declaration had been carried out the situation would have been disastrous. https://t.co/57pFmCeyJf https://t.co/40PdmPrqnz
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
@19joho @ScottAtlas_IT Contrary to what Atlas said, transmission among the low-risk facilitated transmission to the high-risk. https://t.co/4IYdECE27d https://t.co/KYklWVPxyN https://t.co/EbGpNI5U3i https://t.co/TgoS4Zw8Bw https://t.co/e4l4p0zJGG https://t.co/apL1UXINch https://t.co/hy2Sy1AyUH https://t.co/ouCNGeKkhE
@LDjaparidze @Kit_Yates_Maths Nope. Sweden had what the GBD defines as a lockdown. You're substituting your political ideology for evidence again. https://t.co/2NcFBcfvqA https://t.co/5lpUe67DeV Anyway, feel free to go read Yates' paper: https://t.co/SVfDvGLEqq
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Our paper in @PLOSGPH is just out. We modelled shielding strategies like "focussed protection" as espoused by the Gre…
@flodebarre @chronicle GBD itself can be criticized, but I think more along the lines of this article by Smith, Yates and Ashby (2022). https://t.co/xCs06kKKq3 2/4
@Poppy_PTMY @DrJBhattacharya @gbdeclaration That said as I lack the qualifications and expansive knowledge to speak re mathematical pandemic models I would refer the study's analysis and modelling to @DrJBhattacharya and @MartinKulldorff who are significantly more qualified https://t.co/FAZS3mdYML
RT @AtomsksSanakan: @GidMK @PGriffinFC @Neoavatara @AngryCardio @DrJBhattacharya Greater community transmission increases risk of transmiss…
@GidMK @PGriffinFC @Neoavatara @AngryCardio @DrJBhattacharya Greater community transmission increases risk of transmission from the community into nursing homes. https://t.co/NWlpxdaoJt [https://t.co/SVfDvGLEqq https://t.co/DQ4wxBKtNy] https://t.co/m7cqQ35hQ4 https://t.co/WZxdjon8a8 https://t.co/6zR0wnUc9y [https://t.co/MI4tR95GBE] https://t.co/tT9fk7PgoV
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
@K0DK0DK0D @innocent_abroad @FedUpMomInMN @DanielHadas2 The focused protection approach would never have worked before the vaccine, we know that now. It would have been too hard to completely isolate those at risk. That said, I'm not arguing that some of the measures were not disproportionate. https://t.co/3WbGQVYHNw
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: If you want more detail of the model(s) and our assumptions you can find them in the paper. If you disagree with the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: If you want more detail of the model(s) and our assumptions you can find them in the paper. If you disagree with the…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: Seems like a good time to remind people why the herd immunity strategy wouldn't have worked. We found critical flaws…
Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 | PLOS Global Public Health https://t.co/iBRPioxrNw
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
RT @Kit_Yates_Maths: You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thre…
You can read a summarised version of our paper "Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19" in the thread below. https://t.co/NlnFlhVPAm^tfw
RT @HarrySpoelstra: "Shielding the vulnerable while allowing infections to spread among the wider population would not have been a viable p…
RT @HarrySpoelstra: "Shielding the vulnerable while allowing infections to spread among the wider population would not have been a viable p…
RT @HarrySpoelstra: "Shielding the vulnerable while allowing infections to spread among the wider population would not have been a viable p…
"Shielding the vulnerable while allowing infections to spread among the wider population would not have been a viable public health strategy for #COVID19" ➡️ineffective for future pandemic! Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/iYNljqC4mR
Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/99myjtrk2J
RT @GlobalPHObserv: Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/EkBnf2HyTQ
RT @GlobalPHObserv: Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/EkBnf2HyTQ
Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/EkBnf2HyTQ
Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/3tiGleaXfo
Critical weaknesses in shielding strategies for COVID-19 https://t.co/qgZGYk6RQi