Publications by authors named "Michael C Runge"

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Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025.
Sara L Loo, Sung-Mok Jung, Lucie Contamin, Emily Howerton, Samantha J Bents, Michael C Runge

JAMA Netw Open· September 2025

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Fomites Could Determine Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Outbreaks in Low-Density White-Tailed Deer () Populations.
Elias G Rosenblatt, Jonathan D Cook, Graziella V DiRenzo, Evan H Campbell Grant, Michael C Runge

Transbound Emerg Dis· June 2025

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One Health collaboration is more effective than single-sector actions at mitigating SARS-CoV-2 in deer.
Jonathan D Cook, Elias Rosenblatt, Graziella V Direnzo, Evan H Campbell Grant, Brittany A Mosher, Michael C Runge

Nat Commun· October 2024

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Reframing wildlife disease management problems with decision analysis.
Margaret C McEachran, Johanna A Harvey, Riley O Mummah, Molly C Bletz, Claire S Teitelbaum, Michael C Runge

Conserv Biol· August 2024

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Epidemiological modeling of SARS-CoV-2 in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) reveals conditions for introduction and widespread transmission.
Elias Rosenblatt, Jonathan D Cook, Graziella V DiRenzo, Evan H Campbell Grant, Fernando Arce, Michael C Runge

PLoS Comput Biol· July 2024

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When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting.
La Keisha Wade-Malone, Emily Howerton, William J M Probert, Michael C Runge, Cécile Viboud

Epidemics· June 2024

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Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design.
Michael C Runge, Katriona Shea, Emily Howerton, Katie Yan, Harry Hochheiser

Epidemics· June 2024

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Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub.
Sung-Mok Jung, Sara L Loo, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P Smith, Michael C Runge

PLoS Med· April 2024

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The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy.
Sara L Loo, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P Smith, Rebecca K Borchering, Michael C Runge

Epidemics· March 2024

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Ensemble: Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis.
Clara Bay, Guillaume St-Onge, Jessica T Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Emily Howerton, Michael C Runge

Epidemics· March 2024

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Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub.
Sung-Mok Jung, Sara L Loo, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P Smith, Michael C Runge

medRxiv· November 2023

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Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty.
Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G Reich, Michael C Runge

Nat Commun· November 2023

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Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design.
Michael C Runge, Katriona Shea, Emily Howerton, Katie Yan, Harry Hochheiser

medRxiv· October 2023

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Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. .
Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G Reich, Michael C Runge

medRxiv· July 2023

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Qualitative value of information provides a transparent and repeatable method for identifying critical uncertainty.
Michelle L Stantial, Abigail J Lawson, Auriel M V Fournier, Peter J Kappes, Chelsea S Kross, Michael C Runge

Ecol Appl· June 2023

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Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty.
Katriona Shea, Rebecca K Borchering, William J M Probert, Emily Howerton, Tiffany L Bogich, Michael C Runge

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A· May 2023

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Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study.
Rebecca K Borchering, Luke C Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P Smith, Michael C Runge

Lancet Reg Health Am· January 2023

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Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology.
Emily Howerton, Michael C Runge, Tiffany L Bogich, Rebecca K Borchering, Hidetoshi Inamine

J R Soc Interface· January 2023

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Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models.
William J M Probert, Sam Nicol, Matthew J Ferrari, Shou-Li Li, Katriona Shea, Michael C Runge

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci· October 2022

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Optimizing management of invasions in an uncertain world using dynamic spatial models.
Kim M Pepin, Amy J Davis, Rebecca S Epanchin-Niell, Andrew M Gormley, Joslin L Moore, Michael C Runge

Ecol Appl· September 2022

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Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling.
Nicholas G Reich, Justin Lessler, Sebastian Funk, Cecile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, Michael C Runge

Am J Public Health· June 2022

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Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination.
Shaun Truelove, Claire P Smith, Michelle Qin, Luke C Mullany, Rebecca K Borchering, Michael C Runge

Elife· June 2022

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Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: a multi-model study.
Rebecca K Borchering, Luke C Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P Smith, Michael C Runge

medRxiv· March 2022

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An introduction to decision science for conservation.
Victoria Hemming, Abbey E Camaclang, Megan S Adams, Mark Burgman, Katherine Carbeck, Michael C Runge

Conserv Biol· February 2022

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Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing.
Emily Howerton, Matthew J Ferrari, Ottar N Bjørnstad, Tiffany L Bogich, Rebecca K Borchering, Michael C Runge

PLoS Comput Biol· October 2021

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